[Federal Reserve December Meeting Approaches, Market Predictions Indicate Rates May Remain Unchanged by Year-End] Mainstream prediction markets show a significant decline in expectations for a 25bps rate cut in December. Polymarket indicates a probability of about 29.0% for a rate cut, while Opinion shows approximately 29.7%. Overall, most market participants expect rates to remain unchanged, with Polymarket and Opinion both showing a 69.0% probability of no change. CME FedWatch data indicates a 66.3% probability of no change and a 33.7% probability of a 25bps rate cut. The latest October meeting minutes reveal that most officials lean toward maintaining the current rates through the end of the year, primarily due to inflation remaining above target and key labor market data being delayed because of the government shutdown.