*Walter Bloomberg|Nov 19, 2025 16:10
NVDA - NVIDIA Q3 EARNINGS PREVIEW (NOV 19, 2025)
Nvidia reports fiscal Q3 results after the close on Wednesday. The print is widely seen as a key test for the sustainability of the AI bull market.
Why it matters
🔸 Nvidia is ~8% of the S&P 500
🔸 Stock down >10% in November amid broader tech pullback and rising AI-bubble worries
🔸 Still up ~36% YTD but facing questions on valuations, GPU depreciation, supply/demand balance, and competition
Consensus expectations (LSEG)
🔸 Revenue: 54.9B (+56% YoY)
🔸 EPS: 1.25
🔸 Q4 (Jan) guidance: ~61.4B (accelerating growth)
Key bullish points
🔸 CEO Jensen Huang recently said 500B in 2025–2026 orders already booked
🔸 Major cloud customers remain capacity-constrained
🔸 Blackwell (GB200/GB300) and upcoming Vera Rubin ramps on track
🔸 Analysts see AI data-center buildout still in early innings (multi-year, hundreds of billions in spend)
Potential risks / reasons for caution
🔸 Extremely high bar: even a strong beat may not move the stock much
🔸 Growing investor scrutiny on hyperscaler CapEx sustainability, power constraints, and possible margin pressure from rising component costs
🔸 Some fear an “AI bubble” narrative could dominate regardless of results(*Walter Bloomberg)
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