加密前线(糖哥)|11月 19, 2025 04:31
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC
In the current trend of BTC at various levels, the long and short structures are quite conflicting, so conventional technical analysis methods cannot be used to observe the current market situation. In the article a few days ago, Tang Ge provided a detailed explanation of the market situation in terms of technical details. Today, I will summarize the market situation in brief language.
In the high-level trend, the market has fallen a lot. Whether in terms of time or space, it seems to meet the definition criteria of oversold in all aspects. However, upon careful observation, the high-level not only does not have a stop down structure, but also has not effectively rebounded from the previous support level. On the contrary, new break down structures have emerged locally.
That is to say, the current level has not yet fully penetrated, and new opportunities for multi army operations are at the moment of looking at the long and short, and further spatial decline.
In the medium-term trend, when the price approaches the short-term suppression mentioned earlier, it repairs the oversold part of the level. The upward form of suppression is dense and does not support a continuous rise. Therefore, there is no breakthrough or chasing after the rise above the suppression level. Only when the price reaches a low before a second dip or a new low before a refresh, consider the opportunities of fast in and fast out.
In short-term trends, especially those represented by the 15 minute trend, after the radical single rose to the downward MA250, a new bearish divergence structure has formed in the current secondary decline, and it is necessary to prevent the first decline.
Summary: Whether in the short term, it is necessary to prevent a first drop, or in the medium term, only consider the opportunities of fast in and fast out when the price drops before a second dip or a new low before a refresh, or when there are new break structures appearing in large local areas. All focus on the current environment where multiple armies are difficult to rise, making it more suitable for defensive rebound after stepping back.
Short term support range of 90300~89300 (1:2 close in and out of the market, with a head position at 90600 for slow declines and no entry for sharp declines), while looking for long positions and short positions at 88610~87730 (close in and out of the market for sharp declines),
Short term suppression: 94244~95594 (slow rise area, stock reference, caution against short positions), second suppression: 98400~99799 (can be sold high, after reaching the short-term suppression, it can be sold low near the short-term suppression)
Note: 82311~80460 (not within the current range, but can be hung. If there is a sharp drop and a rebound is sought, there is a chance to make a profit by drawing back costs after filling the position in 75180 1-2. 75180 can also be hung separately) BTC
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