王不爱
王不爱|11月 14, 2025 14:07
**Bitcoin Analysis** 1⃣️ Four consecutive days of decline, breaking below the zero axis around 99,000. Trend has broken, and bearish momentum is strong. 2⃣️ The previous strong support at 99,000 has turned into resistance. Key resistance above is at 106,000 (0.382 level). 3⃣️ Trading strategy: focus on shorting at highs. A reversal requires bullish volume to break through resistance; otherwise, the downtrend will continue. **Ethereum Analysis** 1⃣️ Similarly, a four-day sharp drop, testing support at 3,040. Bulls are weak, and the trend remains bearish. 2⃣️ Key resistance levels are 3,389 (previous consolidation zone) and 3,551 (0.236/0.382 levels). 3⃣️ Focus on shorting at highs. Without significant bullish volume breaking resistance, the downward trend is unlikely to reverse. **Macro Analysis & Suggestions** 1⃣️ U.S. stock markets like Nasdaq and S&P 500 are experiencing waterfall declines. The market is losing faith in the "buy Bitcoin narrative" of MicroStrategy. 2⃣️ The U.S. government shutdown has delayed CPI and non-farm payroll data, reducing the likelihood of a rate cut in December. The crypto market may need 2-3 months or more to recover. 3⃣️ For contracts, focus on shorting at highs and closely monitor key resistance levels. For spot trading, prioritize building positions in mainstream coins (Bitcoin, Ethereum, BNB, etc.) in batches—don’t go all in! 4⃣️ Market uncertainty is rising, and risk appetite is low. Avoid altcoins in the short term and focus on high-liquidity mainstream assets. #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Trading
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