Bitcoin needs to hold above $116,000 to turn bullish in the short term, while Ethereum faces resistance at $3,700. Market macro background: The U.S. government shutdown is likely to end, boosting risk asset sentiment. However, the Fed faces challenges in balancing the economy, with a payment capacity crisis among middle- and low-income households potentially triggering recession risks. Bitcoin trend: Diverging views between bulls and bears, with key technical levels under focus. In the short term, Bitcoin must hold above $116,000 on the daily chart to turn bullish. If it loses support at $100,980, the next support level is $93,400. Ethereum trend: Strong resistance formed by nearly 870,000 ETH at $3,700. In the short term, it needs to hold the $3,365 support level. Optimistic views suggest midterm elections, fiscal stimulus, and friendly regulations could push the price to $5,000. #BTC #ETH