Polymarket, which looks like a casino, is actually a smart money printer in zero sum games. Don't gamble on the outcome of events like those fools. You have to play with probability, emotion and arbitrage. From 2024 to 2025, the on chain data clearly shows that the total transaction volume exceeds $2 billion, and Smart Money has earned 4.2M+. I have drawn some verifiable patterns to compare who is the most stable and who earns the most. Not investment advice, don't cry if you lose money. First, let's talk about News Trading: keep an eye on real-time news from Bloomberg or X, and rush into the forefront as soon as an event breaks. The market response is slow, you eat volatility. Profit potential: Single transaction 20-100%, such as on the day Biden withdrew from the race, the odds skyrocketed from 0.7 to 0.95, and grabbing and selling orders earned 50%. • Risk: Fake news deceives people, time intensive (daily monitoring). Verifiable: During the 2024 election window, Whales used this trick to earn millions, with Dune Analytics data available on the entire chain. Win rate of 70%+if you are fast. Suitable for crypto native, don't touch sports. Arbitrage/Spread Farming: Does ES+NO equal 1? Place bets directly on both sides to lock in profits. Or the FOMO party can fill in new market spreads, stinky bids, and other forms. Profit potential: Low risk 1-5% per trade, compounded at 10% per week. By 2025, Yijing will use bots to run over 10k transactions and earn a net profit of 72k. Risk: Lack of liquidity and bot grabbing orders. But Polymarket has zero transaction fees and is as stable as a dog. • Verifiable: aesparing2 wallet with full on chain spread farm records. More stable than news, but slower to earn. Laziness is the first choice. High odds binding (90-99% Odds Bonding): The event is coming to an end, buy 99c with YES, the settlement becomes 1 dollar, eat the basis. Don't go against the trend, pure time value. Profit potential: 2-10% per bet, accumulating into mountains. A trader earns 1 million over two years, with small wins and compound interest every week. Risk: Dispute rollover (UMA voting), but probability<5%. Verifiable: HolyMoses7 has changed from 1 blade to 87k, with full transparency on the chain. Like the Federal Reserve's decision to enter the market at 0.95 and settle at 0.05. Stupid money, but don't hold it all. Copytrading: Focus on Nansen or Wallchain, copy whale addresses. Elon's tweet strategy like Prexpoct: Open the market every week, limit orders to the low-end range, and earn 50k with an 80% win rate. Profit potential: Follow the right people, monthly conversion rate of 20-50%. Kapii Geopolitical Insider, 1M+. • Risk: Whales wash the plate, you become leeks. Tool screening is required. • Verifiable: Just.some.guy has a long tail misprice, with an average purchase of 0.85 and a sale of 1. The profile on X is fully public, please take a look at the PNL curve before copying. Hedging/Delta Neutral strategy: BTC spot long? Buy Polymarket 'BTC Down' to hedge against tail risk. Or range markets such as "SOL 206-208", with neutral fluctuations in direction. Profit potential: Loss reduction of 5-20%, annualized stability of 15%. By 2025, crypto boom and hedge have earned billions of dollars. Risk: Black swan, but not betting on direction. • Verifiable: Shappo_capital chain book, BTC up/down hedge full record. Safer than pure gambling and suitable for large investors. Dispute Sniping: In market disputes, understanding the rules/precedents, predicting UMA results, and buying backwards. Betmoar tool sieve. • Profit potential: 100%+when flipping, such as 99c bonded market becoming 0 after competition. Risk: The rules are flawed and require further investigation. Verifiable: 2024 election dispute, disputors make a profit. High winning rate but few opportunities. Expert level. Comparative summary: Most stable: arbitrage/hedging, risk<5%, annualized 10-20%. Like the Democratic Party raising fat people and eating small profits without going hungry. • Highest profit: News/copy, explosive orders over 50%, but high time/tool costs. 2025 data: The average ROI of news whales is 40%. • Novice friendly: High loss binding+price difference, Zero Brain 5% per week. Overall, Polymarket is not a bet, it's a probability war. Don't chase 100x, cut losses+compound interest=not zero. Risk Reminder: Black Swan 20%, Disputes 5%. Stop loss in warehouse management, never overnight large position. Like crypto, both bulls and bears have boundaries, but events are never lacking. Bitcoin Party's first choice, avoid the meme market. Polymarket=Future Casino, playing with emotions rather than luck.