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星球日报
星球日报|Oct 29, 2025 12:49
[Federal Reserve Chair Powell's Press Conference May Bring Hawkish Surprise] Federal Reserve Chair Powell's press conference is drawing significant market attention. In the absence of government data, Powell is expected to maintain the status quo and provide limited information in terms of forward guidance. What may surprise the market is Powell expressing uncertainty about a rate cut in December, which could be interpreted as a hawkish signal. Currently, the market is confident about a December rate cut, but if a hawkish surprise occurs, U.S. stocks may decline, U.S. Treasury yields may rise, the dollar may strengthen, and precious metal prices may fall. If Powell's stance remains unchanged, the market will fluctuate based on trade developments.
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Timeline

Nov 28, 12:19Interest rate cut reversal, capital inflow
Nov 28, 12:06Exchange failures amplify liquidity tension issues
Nov 28, 11:31Bitcoin rebounds, but the downward trend remains
Nov 28, 11:01Crypto institutions did not create momentum to pump in Q4.
Nov 28, 10:28ETH-BTC supply and demand imbalance alleviated through price decline
Nov 28, 09:55The probability of a rate cut remains steady at 85%.
Nov 28, 09:50The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December has risen to 87%.
Nov 28, 09:40About to experience a market honeymoon period, divided into two phases
Nov 28, 09:13Crypto enters a weak liquidity phase
Nov 28, 08:56The largest long position on Hyperliquid for ZEC has incurred an unrealized loss of $1.925 million.

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