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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|10月 26, 2025 19:12
Shocking stat of the day: The US government now spends ~23 cents of every Dollar of revenue on interest expense, near the highest level this century. This comes as interest expenditures exceeded 1.2 TRILLION over the last 12 months for the first time. Interest costs have DOUBLED over the last 4 years as both rates and federal debt have surged. As a result, interest expense as a % of tax revenue jumped +10 percentage points, or +70%, to 23% during this period. For perspective, the government spent ~10% of its revenue on interest on average before 2020. Interest will soon be the US government's largest expense.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

11月 14, 13:34Broad market sell-off, gold prices retreat.
11月 14, 11:22U.S. liquidity tightening triggers Bitcoin decline
11月 14, 11:21Bitcoin lost $100k
11月 13, 19:50ETF whales continue accumulating, while retail investors remain hesitant
11月 13, 19:49Market sentiment is poor, and liquidity recovery will take time.
11月 13, 15:45The U.S. government shutdown has officially ended
11月 13, 11:30The end of the government shutdown changed the rules of the game.
11月 13, 03:14The U.S. government ends its shutdown, increasing uncertainty in the release of economic data.
11月 11, 16:58The U.S. government shutdown is about to end.
11月 10, 16:59The probability of the U.S. government shutdown ending this week has risen to 84%.

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