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星球日报
星球日报|Oct 21, 2025 06:53
[UBS Expects Bank of Japan to Raise Interest Rates in the Coming Months] UBS Chief Japan Economist stated that the Bank of Japan is highly likely to raise interest rates in the next few months, with a forecasted 25 basis point hike in January, and a possible rate hike in December as well. Currently, Japan's real interest rate is negative, the financial environment remains loose, and inflation dynamics support reducing easing policies. Long-term inflation expectations may rise to 2.0%. Additionally, the government may push for fiscal expansion, further increasing inflationary pressure.
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Timeline

Nov 19, 19:09FOMC meeting minutes reveal hawkish divisions on rate hikes
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Oct 29, 18:17The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points and announced the end of QT.
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Oct 28, 08:04The Bank of Japan may keep interest rates unchanged, and the timing of a rate hike could be delayed.
Oct 23, 02:30Goldman Sachs predicts that the Bank of Japan may maintain its policy rate unchanged.

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