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HSBC: The U.S. Dollar Is Likely to Weaken Again, Possibly Bottoming Out Early Next Year

ๆ˜Ÿ็ƒๆ—ฅๆŠฅ
ๆ˜Ÿ็ƒๆ—ฅๆŠฅ|10ๆœˆ 14, 2025 05:56
Odaily Planet Daily News โ€“ There is intense debate in the market about whether the U.S. dollar has already bottomed out, but HSBC believes the dollar is likely to weaken further. Paul Mackel, Global Head of FX Research at HSBC, stated in a report: "When the Federal Reserve restarts its easing cycle and the U.S. economy avoids a recession, historical experience suggests the dollar will weaken. This pattern is hard to break." While discussions about the U.S. economy reaccelerating and recent political turmoil in France and Japan do provide food for thought regarding the dollar's sideways movement since July, market sentiment remains unpredictable. The desire to believe in a stronger dollar is certainly tempting, but it is still too early to abandon a bearish outlook. Mackel expects the dollar to bottom out early next year. (Jin10)
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Timeline

11ๆœˆ 13, 03:14The U.S. government ends its shutdown, increasing uncertainty in the release of economic data.
11ๆœˆ 12, 15:57Is the market overly confident about a rate cut in December?
11ๆœˆ 12, 11:44Bitcoin volatility is related to institutional-level hunger.
11ๆœˆ 12, 07:23Non-farm payroll and CPI data will be exciting
11ๆœˆ 12, 04:28The US dollar rose to a nine-month high against the Japanese yen.
11ๆœˆ 11, 22:08The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 67.6%.
11ๆœˆ 11, 21:01The US Dollar Index fell 0.15% on the 11th.
11ๆœˆ 11, 16:01Bitcoin BTC is expected to be priced between 38,000 and 50,000.
11ๆœˆ 10, 19:01Market sentiment recovers after the shutdown ends, U.S. stocks rise.
11ๆœˆ 10, 12:51The Federal Reserve ends tightening, signaling the start of a liquidity injection cycle.

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