*Walter Bloomberg|Sep 17, 2025 17:00
📉 KALSHI PREDICTION MARKET FOR FED DECISION TODAY PASSES 85 MILLION IN VOLUME
Lack of forward guidance in the press conference?
All analysts expect the Fed to cut by 25bp in September, with two exceptions:
🔸 Standard Chartered
🔸 Societe Generale
Markets on Kalshi are pricing the Fed’s move with near certainty:
🔸~92% odds of a 25bp cut
🔸~7% odds of a cut larger than 25bp
🔸~3% odds the Fed holds steady
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfeddecision/fed-meeting/kxfeddecision-25sep(*Walter Bloomberg)
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