*Walter Bloomberg|Sep 05, 2025 11:38
🚨NONFARM PAYROLLS PREVIEW: MEDIAN ESTIMATE +75K, FOCUS ON REVISIONS
The upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls report is expected to show a median increase of +75k, with a 1 standard deviation range of 56k to 96k.
🔹 Key forecasts:
• Kalshi: 70k
• Citigroup: 45k
• Goldman Sachs: 60k
• UBS: 70k
• Barclays: 75k
• JPMorgan: 75k
• Bank of America: 90k
Unemployment is expected to hold around 4.2–4.3%, while average hourly earnings are seen rising 0.3% MoM / 3.7% YoY.
The report will draw significant attention to prior month revisions, after a substantial -258k net revision over the past two months. Analysts will be watching closely to see if further downward adjustments weigh on the labor market outlook.
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpayrolls/jobs-numbers(*Walter Bloomberg)
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