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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|Aug 23, 2025 17:00
The US government needs lower rates more than anyone: US Treasury interest payments have reached a record 1.2 trillion over the last 12 months. If rates stay steady, annual interest expense would hit 1.4 trillion in 2026. To keep interest costs stable, the average yield on US government debt, which has a maturity of 5-6 years, would need to drop below 3.1%. The 5-year Treasury yield is now ~3.8%. This implies the Fed would need to cut rates by at least 75 basis points to at least "calm" the fire. Deficit spending is out of control.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

Sep 21, 20:10Federal Reserve officials lie to obtain lower interest rates
Sep 19, 15:25The Federal Reserve faces pressure to cut interest rates and meet liquidity demands
Sep 17, 18:45The Federal Reserve believes there is no need to quickly lower interest rates.
Sep 16, 11:28Housing affordability is a nationwide crisis
Sep 09, 15:07U.S. non-farm payroll data significantly revised down, CPI and Fed decision draw attention
Sep 07, 23:06Federal Reserve officials lie to obtain lower interest rates
Sep 05, 14:15Chávez-Dremer calls on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates
Aug 27, 12:48The Federal Reserve may lower interest rates
Aug 26, 18:49Trump's views on the future of the Federal Reserve
Aug 26, 03:12Bitcoin/Cryptocurrency Plunge

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