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Analyst: The US economy is stable and is expected to only cut interest rates once this year

金色财经
金色财经|7月 30, 2025 19:03
According to a report by Golden Finance, Matthias Scheber, head of the multi asset team at Allspring Global Investments, stated that US fiscal policy remains loose, and the passage of Trump's "Beautiful Bill" undoubtedly adds fuel to the fire. It is expected that the bill will contribute up to 1 percentage point to US economic growth in its first year of implementation, and the marginal effect will gradually decrease thereafter. From a macro perspective, the US economy remains robust: the unemployment rate remains stable, real wages continue to grow, and corporate profitability is also resilient. Unless there is a major job market shock or renewed concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, we expect the Fed to maintain a wait-and-see stance and may cut interest rates once this year. The future direction of policies will largely depend on the balance between inflation and growth.
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Timeline

8月 29, 18:35The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates, economic growth is strong
8月 29, 12:43Inflation has not developed in a direction favorable to the Federal Reserve.
8月 29, 12:32Traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September.
8月 29, 11:00The Federal Reserve's inflation indicator is about to be released
8月 29, 10:11ETH hits a new high, BTC.D breaks the upward trend
8月 29, 01:36The probability of a Fed rate cut in September reaches 86.2%
8月 29, 00:02Federal Reserve Governor Waller supports a 25 basis point rate cut in September
8月 28, 22:35Federal Reserve officials may support significant rate cuts
8月 28, 22:31Waller supports a rate cut at the Federal Reserve's September meeting
8月 28, 20:26Trump's struggle with the Federal Reserve impacts market sentiment

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