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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|Jul 22, 2025 15:40
Rate cuts are coming: Prediction markets now see a 40% chance of 2 interest rate cuts in 2025, for a total of 50 bps. Furthermore, there is even a 13% chance of 3 interest rate cuts this year, per Kalshi. The base case currently shows rate cuts beginning in September. Next week's Fed meeting will pave the path for a September rate cut.(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

Aug 21, 14:21The options market shows a clear divergence in opinions.
Aug 21, 14:18There is a divergence of opinions in the options market.
Aug 21, 13:56Traders reduce bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts
Aug 21, 13:46Initial claims data did not indicate a deterioration in the labor market
Aug 21, 11:02The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September is 79.1%
Aug 21, 10:37The crypto market faces a bearish wave
Aug 21, 07:47Binance buy-sell ratio flashes buy signal
Aug 21, 06:27BTC is hovering above 113,600 after a slight rebound.
Aug 21, 05:57The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has risen to 50, indicating neutral market sentiment.
Aug 21, 05:50The market is expected to rise after a few weeks of volatility.

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