The probability of Trump attempting to fire Powell before the end of August on Polymarket is only 19%

According to BlockBeats, on July 18th, according to relevant page information, the probability of "Trump attempting to fire Powell before the end of August" on Polymarket was only 19%. On the other hand, the probability of Powell stepping down as Federal Reserve Chair this year is only 21%. Previously, Trump denied drafting a letter to dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.