TraderS | 缺德道人
TraderS | 缺德道人|Jul 10, 2025 02:55
Affected by last night's Federal Reserve decision and the Nasdaq S&P reaching a new high, the Big Dipper has also surged to a new high of 112000, which is similar to last year's 72000 hard top. It may seem like it can be broken with just one poke, but in reality, it requires a great deal of energy to break through and stand firm. And last night's market trend was more of a follower, with insufficient endogenous driving force and structure not adjusted properly. Although breaking through a new high is visually frightening, many friends have asked me if I can short, and my answer is still yes. Although the trend of Bitcoin is long and short, this key point will not break through suddenly. Short selling here may seem dangerous, but it is actually quite safe. As long as you have a low multiple, a good stop loss, and a big heart, it's enough. I was too tired last night and didn't write a summary analysis in a timely manner. I saw that Nick and Ni both shared similar views. 1. A small number of people agree to cut interest rates immediately, which should be the three people like Walsh who made public their desire to please Trump to take over the Federal Reserve. 2. Most people think that interest rate cuts should be made this year. If more than 7 members of the voting committee vote in favor, interest rate cuts can be made. The advantage of sending an invisible dot matrix in advance 3. The vote committee thinks that tariff is not a good thing, and there will be risks. Just as Trump has been continuously taking TACO these days, tariff risks have also been alleviated, which is also good So, considering the overall positive sentiment and the new high in the US stock market, only the technology sector with the highest content symbolically followed suit. Although Ethereum has also risen, there is nothing to boast about at this price, and the rest of the knockoffs are completely silent. Therefore, this kind of market trend may be trapped for a considerable period of time. I personally am still working on the wave bands in a large range and waiting for the actual positive news to land.
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