*Walter Bloomberg|Jul 03, 2025 15:25
RECESSION ODDS COLLAPSE TO 19% ON KALSHI
Kalshi markets now price just a 19% chance of a US recession in 2025, down nearly 30 points from earlier this year. After a spike in recession bets during April's growth scares, markets have steadily unwound as soft-landing hopes build.
This aligns with recent Wall Street revisions: Goldman Sachs cut its recession odds to 15%, and Morgan Stanley to 20%. The market is now clearly betting the Fed will pull off the soft landing.
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxrecssnber/recession
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