
Phyrex|Jul 03, 2025 08:38
Personally, I think there is a great probability that the beautiful bill will be finally passed. At most, there will be some changes in some details, but the timing is not good. Now Trump is not doing well. Even the opinions of the party cannot be completely unified, and there are serious differences in the Republican Party of the House of Representatives.
Currently, over 20 Republican lawmakers have expressed opposition or hesitation, with only a slim majority in the House of Representatives version. If you support the Senate version now, you can only withstand a maximum of 3 votes against it, otherwise the vote will fail.
So I don't have much confidence in whether we can fully pass today, but I also feel that the impact on the market will not be significant, and the focus may still be on today's non farm payroll data.
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