After the release of PCE data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has not changed much, with a 25 basis point rate cut of 22.7%

星球日报
星球日报|Jun 27, 2025 12:59
Odaily Planet Daily News: According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77.3% (previously 79.3%), and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 22.7% (previously 20.7%). The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 8.1% (previously 8.2%), the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 71.6% (previously 73.3%), and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 20.4% (previously 18.5%). (Golden Ten)
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