
Justin Wu π|Jun 20, 2025 11:16
BIG RECESSION IS ON THE WAY!
It’s not a guess
It’s a strategy
And it starts with this
BITCOIN HALVINGS DRIVE THE CYCLE.
Every 4 years
Every time
No Exceptions
And now 2025
You don’t need to time the market
You need to time the cycle
Bitcoin usually peaks 12–18 months AFTER the halving
2013 — Top 370 days after halving
2017 — Top 525 days
2021 — Top 546 days
Now do the math for 2024...
That puts the next top around
Mid to Late 2025
But that’s not enough
here’s my secret weapon
The MVRV Ratio (Market Value / Realized Value)
It shows when BTC is overvalued
And it’s deadly accurate
🔴 When MVRV > 3.5 — I SELL
🟢 When MVRV < 1 — I BUY
Look at the data
2011 — Top at 4.64
2013 — Top at 5.19
2017 — Top at 4.71
2021 — Top at 3.67
Every time MVRV goes above 3.5
It’s like game over
That’s where I exit
And when MVRV drops below 1
It’s the best time to load up
The bottom always feels like the end
But it’s just the beginning
📌 My plan
Sell when people are euphoric
Buy when they’re in disbelief
Red zone I EXIT
Green zone I RELOAD
No emotions
Just metrics
Follow me
Because while others chase pumps…
I follow the data
Hope you like it.
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