
rick awsb ($people, $people)|Jun 13, 2025 20:54
Let AI analyze the Bitcoin trend for the next three months (non investment advice dyor), and in my personal opinion, it will be a flash sale for cryptocurrency traders:
TL;DR
Baseline scenario (55% probability): Maintain a rhythm of "high-level digestion → high again before the trial" for the next 3 months, with an interval of ≈ US 95 k-125 k.
Upward scenario (25%): ETF fund flow+Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut dual catalysis, with the earliest impact on US 135-140k before September.
Downward scenario (20%): US dollar liquidity tightens again, geopolitical risks escalate, panic hits US 85k -90k.
Operation:
Band: Ambush in batches between 95k and 100k, target 118k/125k, stop loss 88k.
Medium and long term allocation: maintain 60% spot/40% cash (or short-term treasury bond bond ETF), and increase the position of "net redemption of ETF for three consecutive days".
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