The Numbers: 3.8% Q2 GDP Growth (Atlanta Fed estimate) 139,000 jobs added in May (above 126,000 expected) Inflation at 0.1% MoM (vs 0.2 expected) and 2.4% YoY Trade deficit cut in half Polymarket odds of recession down from 66% in April to 23% today Trump approval +6 in Morning Consult, +7 in Rasmussen Democrat Party approval -49 in Quinnipiac