The U.S. banking system is on the brink of liquidity tightening, a signal that is largely overlooked by the market and may reveal the Federal Reserve's future policy direction more than the interest rate cuts themselves. On December 1, the Federal Reserve officially ended its years-long process of balance sheet reduction. At this point, the reserves in the U.S. banking system have fallen to historically low levels associated with financing stress, and overnight financing rates have begun to periodically test the upper limit of the policy interest rate corridor. The market's focus is almost entirely on the Federal Reserve.

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In a bullish trend, you can go long on a pullback;

Analysis

On December 10, Trump will begin the final round of interviews for the position of Federal Reserve Chairman this week, with a probability of a 25 basis point rate cut this week at 87.6%.

The price of Bitcoin has been fluctuating within a narrow range of $84,000 to $91,000, with market sentiment caught in a delicate balance between panic selling and short covering. The Bitfinex Alpha report reveals a core contradiction: the market is close to a local bottom and has the conditions to stabilize, but is far from healthy. Over 7 million Bitcoins are in an unrealized loss state, reflecting the market's difficulty in reclaiming the true market average. The S&P 500 index is nearing historical highs.

Pull high-definition short positions, do not chase the rise, be cautious of a spike followed by a drop and sell-off!

Master Chen 12.10: Interest rate cuts cannot save the market, 93.5K call gap triple divergence.

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Another point to pay attention to is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the early hours of December 11, where the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has reached 89.4%, along with the employment market data in the United States and

Weng Xiaoqi: The strategic value brought by Fusaka far exceeds the current market pricing, and it is worth all institutions re-evaluating the long-term investment value of the Ethereum ecosystem.

Despite holding a floating loss of over $3 billion, cryptocurrency investment company BitMine accelerated its purchase of 138,000 Ethereum last week, with the buying speed increasing by 156% compared to four weeks ago. As the price of Ethereum hovers around $3,100, the 3.86 million ETH held by BitMine Immersion Technologies is currently in a floating loss, with an average cost as high as $3,925. However, the company not only did not reduce its holdings but instead increased its position by 138,452 ETH in the past week, making

白宫经济顾问哈赛特昨晚释放强烈降息言论，明确表示降息幅度可超过25个基点，这远超市场此前对“常规25个基点降息”的预期