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Bear Market Bottom Fishing List: Analysis of the Holding Logic for 6 Major Cryptocurrency Assets

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PANews
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2 hours ago
AI summarizes in 5 seconds.

Author: Haotian

Share my main assets and holding logic for slowly bottoming out in the bear market:

1) $BTC: The bottoming logic shouldn't need much explanation, according to the cyclical theory, BTC will be the asset that rises the fastest at the beginning of the next bull market, and it is the only asset that has been okay to hold during the bear market bottoming phase. Moreover, many people missed out on BTC, which led the last cycle, and retail holdings are not much.

Additionally, if you are a pure BTC Maxi, you could also consider buying MSTR, which has almost no chance of collapsing in the short term, and being a highly correlated leveraged asset with BTC that has been halved and halved again from its highs, it will soar up and double in value;

2) $ETH: The logic of holding ETH might surprise many people, who simply think ETH will be the last hope of the Crypto Native ecosystem, so I have swapped most of my holdings in altcoins to ETH, including a portion of SOL.

It sounds a bit like guarding the faith in Crypto, but more importantly, it reflects an "optimistic" mentality towards the widespread adoption of stablecoins, the upgrade of Tokenization infrastructure, RWAFi, the integration and acceptance of DeFi and other infrastructural narratives. Especially since the potential of Ethereum hasn’t been fully released in the last cycle, when the next bubble comes, it might turn out to be even more impressive than BTC;

3) $SOL: Although I swapped part of my holdings to ETH, my position in SOL is still quite large. The reason is that as a chain that carried the previous MEME craze, AI Agent craze, DePIN, and expectations for consumer-grade applications, Solana has demonstrated its team's strength with a comeback.

Furthermore, with the rollout of the Firedancer client coverage, the Alpenglow consensus upgrade, and the ICM internet capital narrative still in the works, saying SOL is a MEME chain is less accurate than saying it happens to have the strength to carry the MEME craze. When the next wave of hotspots comes, SOL will still be a resilient ecosystem with strength and economic vitality;

4) $HYPE: I have quietly been bottoming and building my position early on, and everyone is optimistic about it. However, there are two main reasons why I truly have confidence in HYPE: 1. HYPE is the only new coin that emerged in the last bull market, perfectly standing against the pessimism surrounding altcoins. If playing in the altcoin market is akin to gold mining in a dung pit, then HYPE must be shining brightly;

2. The HIP-3 protocol has elevated Hyperliquid's narrative to the level of on-chain Binance and even on-chain CME. Tradexyz has generated a significant amount of off-exchange incremental trades through trading crude oil and gold and silver futures, and the tensions in HIP-4 regarding outcome options combined with prediction markets have not been fully released yet. So, HYPE's potential is still great; if it weren't for the continuous large unlocks and the lack of thoroughly cross-cycle structural flushing factors, it would probably have already soared;

5) $TAO: The reason for choosing TAO isn't complicated; it's simply because it is the leading project in the AI + Crypto narrative and has verified its strength in Covenant's distributed model training. Although the ecosystem later experienced disputes and Covenant left, this major adjustment provided me with the opportunity to build my position in TAO.

Because no project that has stood the test of time will cease to exist due to a localized internal conflict, and because the narrative of the Agentic Economy will inevitably spark again, choosing TAO is merely securing a position ahead of time;

6) $ZEC: It's a bit regrettable that I couldn't get in early when Naval called it out, but during this pullback, I gradually increased my position. The reason isn't complicated; I chose ZEC simply because the privacy track cannot be discredited in Crypto. It is required for AI productivity innovation and also meets regulatory requirements.

In other words, even if the decentralized narrative is discredited, the strong demand for solutions in the privacy track will always exist. It's not very obvious now with AI gaining prominence, but when the AI bubble cannot sustain at a certain bottleneck or when large models competing for computing resources reach the second half of the Agentic application economy's launch, the demand for privacy (technologies such as ZK, FHE, quantum encryption, etc.) will definitely become a necessary scene for Crypto to tap into the AI trend, which is completely congruent;

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