The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is in a rush, all for profit! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on cryptocurrency market analysis, striving to provide the most valuable market information to many coin friends. Welcome everyone's attention and likes, and reject any market smokescreens!   

On the first day of April, the monthly line has finally wrapped up, and the ending of the bullish line has stopped the previous five months of one-sided downward trend. Compared with the ending of February at 66973, March has reached 68284, with an overall increase of only 1.96%, while the amplitude has reached 16.42%. These data can provide feedback; you can take a look, especially spot users, as long as the yield reaches 2%, it is a qualified line, and the amplitude is the data that contract users need to refer to. In the past thirty days, 22,900 BTC have flowed out of exchange wallets. Many friends regard the outflow data as bearish data, which is a mistaken perception. The outflow still constitutes offline trading, and this part of the data will not intervene in market reference, mostly in the form of storage. On the contrary, a large inflow into exchanges, if not staked, could form a phenomenon of large players dumping, and overall, the outflow data leans more towards the bullish side. Currently, major exchanges have reserves as follows: Coinbase's current wallet balance is 853,400 BTC, and Binance has 629,300 BTC. Among them, Coinbase is in an inflow state, while Binance is in an outflow state.

Coinbase benefits more from purchases by BlackRock and MicroStrategy, with more staking, which is also a consistent strategy of Americans to support their own platform. Currently, all exchanges have a total wallet balance of 2,457,400 BTC, occupying nearly 10% of the overall BTC market. The Solana network processed $650 billion in stablecoin transactions in February, with a total monthly transaction volume close to $2 trillion. Based on this data, the activity level in the crypto market shows sufficient volume to support the arrival of the next wave of market trends, although the increase is not particularly outstanding. Reviewing the data for the entire month, it can clearly reflect operational issues; under the condition of maintaining a 2% increase, if there is still a loss, it can only indicate that there is a problem with the cash flow reserves in hand. This is also something Lao Cui emphasizes: the time you can hold in the spot market will determine your earnings. As Li Ka-shing said, there is always a business that can still make money even when the sky falls.

Many friends enjoy fast-food style reading; the development of society is like this, and everyone wishes Lao Cui would directly provide point entries so they can copy it for profit. Is there such an easy thing in the world? Lao Cui's win rate is not very high; surviving in the crypto space at this stage is not easy. Especially through Trump's speech in the morning, everything reveals that the conflict will continue; Lao Cui's previous speculation is similar; Trump continues to frequently send military forces to the Middle East and declares with bravado that even if they withdraw, they will completely destroy all power plants and energy facilities. This is likely to happen, and it is obvious that trying to control Iranian energy at this stage is nothing but empty talk, while sending ground troops to control the strait is a possibility. Regarding military conflict, Lao Cui's view is still that it will not last too long. This preparation already has a sense of fighting to the death, and the likelihood is that this strike will expand, also the last struggle, after which troop withdrawal has become a certainty (short-term conflict is bearish).

At this point, many may be confused. Every day Lao Cui interprets news but doesn’t provide everyone with specific entry points, which seems a bit dull; so why do some friends enter based on Lao Cui's logic? Today I will teach everyone how to read the article. Clearly expanding military conflict also indicates that the crypto space will face a significant collapse again, and Lao Cui's stance is not to look for new lows, so near the new low is the point where you should take profits, which is for those who are shorting. For those who are longing, how should they face this? The safest way is simply to wait for the end of this round of conflict. The contracts in the crypto space are an extremely flexible way, unlike other markets, and 24-hour delivery means unlimited opportunities and risks. To explore with examples, based on K-lines, the above image shows the new low of 60,000 on February 6. Many friends believe entering at 60,000 is certainly profitable.

This bearish line's appearance does not prepare for retail investors; instead, it contains a lot of buying power at the bottom for bottom-fishing. This means retail investors at 60,000 cannot actually enter the market; this position is given to giants like BlackRock and MicroStrategy for their dollar-cost averaging, even including American pension funds entering. This is what Lao Cui mentioned earlier about the giants changing the game. The appearance of the lower shadow indicates a short-term upward trend; the timing for you to decide to enter the market is essentially at the previous day's closing price level. You need to pay attention to this opportunity and decision, with a focus on having sufficient funds to bottom fish. The repair strength of this market is unprecedented; the repair strength from the new low of 60,000 reached over 10,000 points, with the closing price above 70,000. Only then will the timing for you to enter the market appear, with opening prices on February 6 being reappeared on February 24 and February 28; the waiting time increases to nearly twenty days. Thus, it can also be seen that the entry position is not a determined point but a range form; only in this way can you maximize your profits and minimize your risks.

This is also the time when Lao Cui frequently shares profit screenshots in the circle. If there are no posts, it means there is no entry. After confirming such a range, it is just a matter of judging exits. Those who can buy are students, while those who can sell are masters. The logic behind selling is the same as that of buying; as long as there is a long upper shadow, this is the timing for you to decide to sell. Do not keep staring at absolute highs and lows, as these are not the times for retail investors to decide when to exit. We are merely following the behind-the-scenes operators to drink soup, nothing more. As long as there is no such thought, it is a plan for you to be ready to exit at any time. Contracts are a short-term game; the appearance of the upper shadow timing is when you need to consider exiting. Everyone should not review the past in vain; remember that the next wave of military conflict escalation will also bring back this market, and this article can be considered as a review while also predicting the next wave of market trends. When this type of market occurs again, you can use it as a reference.

Lao Cui concludes: Entry and exit do not have any exact points; only sufficient space is provided, and giving points is basically harming everyone. Lao Cui's entry and exit are almost transparent to everyone; the current spot market is still in a position of being stranded, so Lao Cui's thoughts are mainly aimed at users who are stuck in the spot market. This is saving others while also saving oneself. Any form of trading must consider the offline financial environment; increasing information suggests we are not far from a new round of financial crisis. In Lao Cui's perception, this financial crisis will target dollar assets more. The inflation problem in the US is urgent, combined with a high debt crisis. The most critical point is the lack of support from the real industrial sector, which is somewhat similar to the former Soviet Union on the brink of bankruptcy. Once strong military capabilities cannot be monetized, the final path becomes extremely delicate. The real and industrial aspects need to closely integrate. In the next article, Lao Cui will analyze the crypto space from a financial perspective. The current crypto space is also very delicate. At the end of this article, I suggest everyone pay attention to the progress of RWA (Real World Asset) tokenization, which is very likely to become the next windfall.

Original content from the official account: Lao Cui Talks about Coins. Please contact directly for assistance.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; experts can see five, seven, or even ten moves ahead, while those with lower skills can only see two or three moves. The adept consider the big picture, strategize the overall trend, not fixating on a single piece or territory, aiming for a winning game overall, while those of lesser skill will fiercely compete for every inch of ground, frequently switch between long and short, only seeking momentary short-term gains, resulting in constant trouble.

This material is for learning and reference purposes only and does not constitute trading advice; consequences from trading based on it are at your own risk!

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