More? Short? Neither, just follow the trend that you can identify!

Set the trend, set the point, set the plan, a trinity!

The wind is only a force for those who can utilize it; the peak only has real meaning for those who climb it rather than just gaze at it. The pattern determines the outcome, the attitude determines the height. Those who are filled with their own views and thoughts will never hear the voices of others. Those who are filled with the views and thoughts of others will never clarify their own ideas.

Set the trend:

It has been a few days since I last communicated with everyone. Recently, the overall trend of B has been quite stagnant, resembling a frog in warm water. Looking at the weekly chart, the price is above MA7, which technically indicates a bullish structure, and the two consecutive bullish candles at a low level suggest a reversal. However, the price has not stabilized above 116,000 and has repeatedly broken through only to recover, giving a sense of a potential trap for shorts. On the daily chart, the price is supported by MA60 and MA7, and from a pattern perspective, the probability of an upward movement is relatively high. The weekly chart of E is testing the support of MA7; if it breaks, we will look for support around 4,300. If it holds, we will look upward. Currently, it is hovering around 4,500, and this support has been consolidating for nearly 10 hours, seemingly confirming the support, but it can also be seen as a continuation adjustment for a downward trend. The 4-hour chart's candlestick pattern is still in a weak structure, and for long positions, Xiao Zhan prefers around EMA200.

Regarding the imminent interest rate cut, the market expects a 25 basis point reduction. A Zhan still feels there is uncertainty, for example, Old Powell mentioned a delay, neither confirming nor denying a cut, and not implementing it on the 18th. This risk probability exists. Therefore, it is better to be cautious and not rush in blindly. Even if the interest rate cut is announced as per market expectations, one must pay attention to the short-term rebound; Old Powell's speech, whether hawkish or dovish, is quite important, along with the dot plot. The global financial market is paying attention to this news, and market funds are also waiting. We small retail investors should manage our own risk well.

Set the point:

For B, it was previously suggested to focus on 116,000; now it has moved up to monitor the resistance around 112,000, while paying attention to support above 111,000. For E, focus on the previous high and resistance near 4,900, with support around 4,300. Given that this article is not updated daily, and with the interest rate decision, the range provided is relatively large and for reference only.

Set the plan:

B: Short at 119,500-120,500, watch for 115,000. Long at 111,500-112,000, watch for 116,500.

E: Short at 4,660-4,700, watch for 4,500. If it breaks, short at 4,850-4,880, watch for 4,600.

Long at 4,330-4,280, watch for 4,500.

What can relieve worries? Only getting rich! No snowflake in an avalanche is innocent. Do not lose yourself in madness; protect your bullets, keep yourself from leaving the table, and have chips ready for a counterattack.

If you like it, please like and share. I wish everyone success in their endeavors! May you have a bright future in the crypto world!!!

2025/9/16

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