ETH ETFs Set to Overtake Bitcoin Holding by Sept: Dragonfly Analyst

This is a significant change in the crypto investment environment as Ethereum ETFs will outnumber the Bitcoin ETFs in terms of percentage of total supply by September 2025. This projection comes from Hildebert Moulié (known online as hildobby), a data analyst at Dragonfly.

As of now, BTC ETFs collectively hold 6.38% of BTC's total circulating supply, while ETH already controls 5.08% of all in existence. If current inflow trends continue, Ethereum is expected to overtake Bitcoin ETFs’ market share within the next two months.

Sharp Momentum for ETH Inflows

The increase in inflows of the ETH ETF is being broadly witnessed within institutional channels. A recent article on August 15, 2025, also shows that Ethereum ETFs have recorded five straight days of net inflows exceeding Bitcoin, which is an unusual run that signals an institutional investor sentiment shift.

Source: Wu Blockchain X

Analysts explain this rise by a combination of several factors:

• Corporations have begun to add staked ETH to their treasuries because it earns yield.

• Also, it is more appealing in terms of utility as DeFi integrations and smart contracts usage keep growing.

• Future updates and scalability solutions also add to the long-term investor confidence.

Bitcoin is Still Ahead, But Ethereum is Gaining Ground Quickly

Due to earlier regulatory approval, it was a decade-long struggle to gain mainstream institutional exposure, and the SEC landmark approval of spot BTC in January 2024. Nevertheless, ETH appears to be closing the gap in a matter of a fraction of that time.

Whereas BTC has remained as the digital gold, the Ethereum story has shifted to utility, staking rewards, and real-world applications. This distinction is beginning to show up in institutional portfolios.

This is not a fall of BTC but a growing up of ETH as a financial asset class in its own right, remarked Mouli in his analysis.

Regulatory Breakthroughs Preconditioned

The wider trend can be attributed to the move of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to approve physical Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024. This landmark opened the doors to Ethereum ETF approvals in the future. Although no scholarly research has so far measured the long-term effects on the balance of supply and the stability of prices, the current trend gives a clear image of the changing priorities among institutions.

Source: Hildobby X

What This Implies for the Crypto Market

Should ETH ETFs outperform BTC in terms of percentage of total supply by September, as it is projected, then it may signal a larger re-definition of how investors perceive crypto assets:

• Bitcoin: Store of value, inflation hedge, macro asset.

• Ethereum: Technology platform, DeFi infrastructure play, yield-generating.

Financial experts recommend that institutions start to diversify their crypto investments in a more balanced approach instead of adopting a Bitcoin-centric approach.

Conclusion

The increase in the dominance is an indication of a wider sentiment by major players in the market that it has a long-term potential beyond price appreciation. Although BTC is still the gold standard of digital assets, the trend is changing. At the current rate, the month of September 2025 can become a historic one, which foreshadows a new stage in the development of digital asset investment.