The total market value of AI Agents has plummeted by 67%. Underlying competition is brewing between Solana and the Base chain. Can old MEMEs leverage AI to survive?

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PANews
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1 year ago

Author: Frank, PANews

AI Agents are widely regarded within the industry as one of the key tracks to watch in 2025. However, with the recent significant market adjustments, AI Agents have also experienced a sharp decline. From the data perspective, how substantial has the pullback of AI Agents been? What competitive changes have quietly occurred between chains? PANews conducted an investigation into the recent data changes of AI Agents.

AI Agent Total Market Value Drops 67% in Nearly a Month

According to Cookie.fun data, as of February 10, there are a total of 1,412 AI Agents, with a total market value of approximately $6.52 billion, down 67% from $20.2 billion on January 15. Meanwhile, the number of Agents continues to increase, with 116 new Agents added in the past month, representing a growth rate of about 8.9%. However, in terms of growth rate, the current addition speed of AI Agents has also slowed down.

AI Agent Total Market Value Plummets 67%, Underlying Competition Between Solana and Base Chains, Can Old MEME Ride the AI Wave to Survive?

Based on data from January 15, the average market value of AI Agents at that time was approximately $15.07 million, which has now decreased to $4.61 million by February 10.

In terms of chain distribution, Solana and Base remain the leaders in the AI Agent track. There are 793 AI Agents on the Solana chain, accounting for more than half. The number of AI Agents on Base is 379, which is less than half of Solana's. However, in terms of total market value, Solana's AI Agents have a total market value of about $3.2 billion, while Base's is $2.47 billion, showing a small gap. Calculating the average market value, Solana's AI Agents have an average market value of about $4.03 million, while Base's average market value reaches $6.51 million. From this perspective, Base's AI Agents seem to hold their value better.

AI Agent Total Market Value Plummets 67%, Underlying Competition Between Solana and Base Chains, Can Old MEME Ride the AI Wave to Survive?

From the changes observed, the decline on the Solana chain is indeed more pronounced. At its peak, the total market value of AI Agents on the Solana chain reached $11 billion, which has now decreased by 70%. The peak market value of Base was approximately $7.94 billion, which has decreased by 68.8% during the same period.

Currently, there are 6 AI Agents on the Solana chain with a market value exceeding $100 million, namely FARTCOIN, AI16Z, ARC, ACT, GRIFFAIN, and GOAT. On Base, there are 5 AI Agents with a market value exceeding $100 million, which are VIRTUAL, TOSHI, FAI, AIXBT, and VVV. Notably, the highest market value AI Agent is currently VIRTUAL, reaching $760 million. It is worth mentioning that Virtuals Protocol has expanded to Solana on February 10.

Recently, BNB Chain has seen relatively rapid development in the AI Agent direction, with two projects, CHEEMS and CGPT, having market values exceeding $100 million. Additionally, BNB Chain has seen a significant increase in Mindshare (the percentage of total discussions about the token on Twitter) recently. On February 7, BNB Chain's Mindshare was less than 4%, but by February 10, this figure had risen to 21.86%.

The recent growth of BNB Chain is primarily driven by two projects: one is Andy BNB, which had a market value of approximately $42 million on February 10, with a Mindshare increase of 1.02 over the past week, reaching 1.44%. The other is CHEEMS, which had a Mindshare of about 0.97% and a market value of approximately $144 million on February 10.

Top Tokens Currently Down Over 70%, Can Old MEME Ride the AI Wave to Revive?

From a classification perspective, the current tokens in the AI field are still dominated by MEME and framework categories. Among them, the market value of MEME category AI tokens is approximately $1.94 billion, while the framework category exceeds $1.49 billion. The highest market value token in the MEME category remains FARTCOIN, with a market value of about $524 million. Its peak market value once exceeded $2.7 billion, and it has currently declined by about 80%. The leading token in the framework category is VIRTUAL, currently valued at $760 million, with a peak market value of $3.3 billion, down over 76.8%.

Another previously popular framework, AI16Z, had a peak market value of $2.7 billion, which has dropped to a low of $270 million, representing a 90% pullback. Currently, the market value of AI16Z's token has slightly rebounded to $450 million.

Surprisingly, among the MEME category, besides FARTCOIN, the second and third ranked tokens are TOSHI (market value $304 million) and TURBO (market value $271 million).

TOSHI was originally a pet-themed meme coin named after Brian Armstrong's cat, the founder and CEO of Coinbase. This token was issued at the end of 2023, and its market value once exceeded $300 million in 2024, before sliding down to around $30 million. In November 2024, with the rise of AI Agents, the TOSHI token transformed into an AI token using VIRTUAL as its framework, and its market value soared, reaching a peak of $960 million. However, from the current product framework perspective, TOSHI's main function is simply to auto-tweet, and its Twitter follower count is only 779.

AI Agent Total Market Value Plummets 67%, Underlying Competition Between Solana and Base Chains, Can Old MEME Ride the AI Wave to Survive?

The third-ranked MEME token is Turbo, which was issued in April 2023 and is claimed to be the first AI-generated MEME token. This token was issued on Ethereum and is one of the few AI tokens with a high market value issued on Ethereum. Previously, Turbo's peak market value reached $990 million, with a maximum pullback exceeding 80%.

Trends and MEME Synchronization, Yet to Show Value Attributes

Overall, the tokens with high market values in the AI Agent category have generally pulled back over 80% from their peaks. For instance, the once-popular GOAT had a peak market value of $1.37 billion, which has dropped to a low of $97.37 million, representing a pullback of over 92%. Observing the market value curves of leading AI tokens, they almost all exhibit a 'mountain' shape.

AI Agent Total Market Value Plummets 67%, Underlying Competition Between Solana and Base Chains, Can Old MEME Ride the AI Wave to Survive?

GOAT Market Value Trend Chart

However, from the overall market changes, this trend is not unique to AI Agent tokens. In contrast, other categories of MEME coins show a similar trend. In terms of the proportion of top market values, AI Agent tokens may still be the highest type. Currently, there are only two MEME tokens on the Solana chain with market values exceeding $1 billion: TRUMP and BONK. In November 2024, there were still 6 MEME tokens with market values reaching $1 billion.

Overall, the current total market value of AI tokens in the cryptocurrency field is approximately $6.67 billion, which is a significant pullback from the peak of $22 billion. However, in terms of the actual functions and capabilities of these AI agents, there has yet to be an explosive application, and the vast majority of AI agents are still simply tweeting or riding the AI hype. Perhaps because of this, the volatility of AI tokens closely resembles that of MEME coins, showing no sign of the value logic that should be present. As for whether the current market value of AI tokens is underestimated, it is worth noting that the globally popular DeepSeek was reported to have a valuation of only $8 billion on February 9. At least from this comparative perspective, the bubble of AI Agents still seems quite significant.

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