Author: dachen

SuperChamps will issue coins in the second half of the year and airdrop 5% (of which 20% is exclusive to NFT holders). This article will analyze the airdrop return, and all content is purely personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice!

First, predict the total circulation market value and token price:

These are some well-known chain games that have been issued since October last year. According to data from Coinmarketcap, their current average fully diluted valuation (FDV) is 400 million, and the average financing at the time of issuance is 15.5 million (excluding the lowest and highest values).

SuperChamps is currently financed at 19.5 million. If calculated according to the FDV/financing scale in the table, the FDV at the time of issuance would be 500 million, with a token price of 0.5.

If we only look at the new projects launched within the past two months when the market was not doing well: ULTI, PIRATE, NYAN. The FDV at the time of issuance would be 250 million, with a token price of 0.25.

If the market is not doing well in the second half of the year and there is another crash, the FDV at the time of issuance would be 125 million, with a token price of 0.125.

Next, calculate the return of the NFT exclusive airdrop at three different total circulation market values:

The total token supply is 1 billion; 5% will be used for airdrops; 20% will be exclusive airdrops for NFT holders; there are a total of 3333 NFTs, and the current floor price is 0.18E, equivalent to 600u.

We assume that all NFT holders have created an account on the official website and connected their wallets, and the total circulation market value at the time of issuance is 125 million.

(125,000,000 / 1,000,000,000 * 5% * 20%) / 3333 = 450u

Conclusion: Each NFT can receive 450u, with a return rate of 75%.

Analyzing the airdrop without NFT accounts, according to Dappradar, the average number of active wallets participating in the SuperChamps airdrop page is around 40,000 per day (with a cumulative wallet count of 160,000).

https://dappradar.com/dapp/super-champs-hq?range-ds=30d&range-ha=3m

We assume that 40,000 is the average level of participation in airdrops and games, and it is also the threshold for receiving airdrops, and the total circulation market value at the time of issuance is 125 million (125,000,000 / 1,000,000,000 * 5% * 80%) / 40,000 = 125u

Conclusion: Each account can receive 125u.

Note: Here, the account refers to playing their two games at an average level to earn airdrop points, estimated to take 5 hours per week. If you can complete all tasks, then the points will be higher than the average level, and the airdrop received will also be higher.

Assuming you play games at an average level to earn points + hold 1 NFT, and the total circulation market value at the time of issuance is 125 million

Conclusion: Overall earnings of 575u. NFT overall investment return rate of 96%.

NFTs can be stacked, and if you spend time completing all tasks and hold a large number of NFTs, the accumulated rewards may be good. Especially if the market picks up in September and the token valuation increases, the earnings will also increase accordingly. All the above content is not investment advice, and my analysis may also have flaws, so everyone should DYOR!

For information about SuperChamps, you can refer to the previous article on ChainCatcher

https://chaincatcher.com/article/2133658

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