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Follow the public account Gu Jingci 8, focusing on mainstream coin guidance and layout. Bitcoin/Ethereum has mostly maintained a narrow range of fluctuations after a fast rise and fall in the early stage. Especially, Ethereum's overall trend is relatively weak. This strong trend of Bitcoin alongside the overall weak trend of Ethereum is a sign that the market is preparing for a change, and it is highly likely to maintain a downward trend. Recent 4-hour K-line shows a downtrend with fluctuations, with both the highs and lows decreasing. After a large bearish candlestick appeared earlier with increased volume, the price has been fluctuating at a low position, with insufficient upward momentum from bulls. The latest K-line is a small bullish candle, but the trading volume is shrinking. The daily line has closed with two consecutive bearish candles, accompanied by a large trading volume, indicating strong bearish pressure. Currently, although it is a small bullish candle, the trading volume is significantly lower than in the previous two days, indicating insufficient rebound momentum.
From a technical indicator perspective, the DIF and DEA lines are both operating below the zero axis, with the DIF line located below the DEA line. The MACD histogram is negative, indicating an overall bearish market. The negative value of the MACD histogram has converged, suggesting that the short-term downward momentum has weakened, but it has not yet turned into a bullish trend. The previous two trading days' decline was accompanied by high trading volume, confirming the validity of the downtrend. However, the rebound trading volume has significantly shrunk, indicating limited current rebound strength. Additionally, from the daily MA moving average indicator, the upper side is still pressured by the moving average indicators 78500 and the 2420 to 2440 range, and the rebound can continue to be a short position.
Operation suggestions: Continue to short Bitcoin around 77800 to 78300, with a target around 76300; continue to short Ethereum around 2410 to 2430, with a target around 2360, and can continue to look down if it breaks.
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