Double top overlaps with hawkish statements, the big pie first rises and then falls, rhythm is more important than direction.

Coincidentally at a double top, overlapping with hawkish statements from Waller, market sentiment changes instantly.

Top pressure meets rising interest rate expectations, the big pie and gold collectively plummet, this trend is not surprising.

Therefore, my current thinking is very simple:

First follow the trend to see rises, retract to support, then consider going north.

In the short term, a top tombstone line has emerged on the 4H chart, and the 1-hour chart synchronously closed in the red, a bearish rhythm has already appeared.

Today's short-term:

BTC: 78000—78500 gradually rising, look at 77000—76500.

ETH: 2435—2455 gradually rising, look at 2400—2385.

First rise, do not chase bears.

What really deserves attention is the opportunity after the withdrawal.

If the big pie approaches around 75000—76000, I will consider gradually building positions for a rise;

For Ethereum, focus on the 2300—2350 area.

There is also a more robust option:

Don’t guess the bottom; wait for a breakout above the previous high before chasing the rise.

It seems like you’ve missed out on some profit, but what you gain is certainty.

Looking back at 2026, the big pie has been quiet for a year. After long-term compression, once a real breakout occurs, the released power is often significant.

So this time, I am not pessimistic.

Withdraw to the support level to enter the rise, and chase the rise after breaking the previous high.

One focuses on price, the other on certainty.

And right now, the rhythm can be summed up in one sentence:

First rise, wait for support; when the position is right, then go north.

Market movements are never completed in a day; the true profit comes not from eating every segment but from rising when it’s time to rise and falling when it’s time to fall.

Direction can be slow, but the rhythm must not be chaotic.

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