Since the launch of ChatGPT, AI developers have warned that artificial intelligence could eliminate millions of jobs. California is now trying to determine whether those predictions are beginning to play out.
On Thursday, California Governor Gavin Newsom announced the launch of what the state calls the nation's first AI-Unemployment Tracker, a public dashboard designed to monitor whether artificial intelligence is contributing to job losses in the state. The initiative adds to California's expanding goal of shaping AI policy under Newsom, who is widely viewed as a potential Democratic presidential contender in 2028.
“As part of my first-in-the-nation executive order on AI, my administration just launched a dashboard to track signs of job loss from AI and better support workers who might be impacted,” Newsom wrote on X. “California won’t just watch this emerging technology from the sidelines; we’re going to act.”
Developed by the California Employment Development Department and researchers at the California Policy Lab’s UCLA site, the dashboard will update monthly and track unemployment claims across occupations considered highly exposed to AI. State officials say the data will help identify where workers may need retraining, job-search assistance, health coverage guidance, or other support.
“AI is advancing quickly, and workers’ concerns about what that could mean for their jobs are real,” Professor of Economics at UCLA and Faculty Director of the California Policy Lab’s UCLA site, Till von Wachter, said in a statement. “This new tracker helps replace speculation with evidence, giving us a clearer understanding of what’s changing and how to best support affected workers.”
The move reflects a broader shift in how policymakers are responding to AI. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has increasingly sounded the alarm about AI-driven job loss, while Missouri Republican Sen. Josh Hawley, in October, introduced bipartisan legislation requiring companies to report AI-related layoffs. In April, New York Assembly member Alex Bores proposed an “AI Dividend” tied to AI-driven job displacement.
So far, California's data suggests the feared wave of AI layoffs has not arrived. Researchers found no evidence of rising statewide unemployment tied to AI, but they did identify higher unemployment claims among college-educated workers in occupations with high AI exposure after ChatGPT-3.5 launched in 2022, particularly in the San Francisco Bay Area.
The announcement comes as concerns about AI-driven job losses have continued to grow. In January, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warned AI could eliminate up to half of entry-level white-collar jobs within five years. Since then, economists have begun revising earlier assumptions that AI would primarily augment workers rather than replace them. In April, a Federal Reserve study found U.S. programmer job growth fell by roughly 50% after ChatGPT's launch, providing some of the strongest evidence to date that generative AI is affecting hiring in highly exposed occupations.
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