
PANews April 30 news, according to Delphi Digital analysis, based on the worst entry timing calculation, the five-year holding period return for Bitcoin is only -13%. Analysts backtested all possible five-year holding periods since May 2016, and the results showed that Ethereum and Solana did not have any negative return windows, while Bitcoin had only 11 negative return windows. The worst case occurred when buying on December 16, 2017 (near the previous cycle peak) and selling five years later near the 2022 cycle low, resulting in an approximate return of -13%. The median return for Bitcoin over a five-year holding period exceeds 8 times, while Ethereum is nearly 13 times. Nvidia's returns of about 14 times over the past five years are often used for comparison with crypto assets, but this only corresponds to the upper-middle range of Bitcoin and Ethereum's historical five-year returns. Bearish arguments rely on using the most unfavorable windows as benchmark cases, while data indicates that over longer time horizons, mainstream crypto assets achieved positive returns at the vast majority of entry points.
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