Unless something changes quickly, Shiba Inu is about to enter a critical phase, where price structure and on-chain dynamics are beginning to align in a way that favors downside continuation.
Shiba Inu's netflow turns bearish
The dramatic change in exchange flows is currently the most significant signal. A net inflow of +137 billion SHIB to exchanges indicates a significant rise in the amount of sell-side liquidity that is available. This kind of asset movement onto exchanges usually indicates a desire to distribute rather than accumulate.
The positive exchange netflow reading, which shows that the overall trend still favors inflows despite a recent drop in the 24-hour change, supports this.
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SHIB/USDT Chart by TradingView
At more than 81 trillion SHIB, exchange reserves are still high. That is structural overhead rather than a transient spike. Any upward move must contend with the ongoing supply pressure brought on by large reserves.
The weakness is confirmed by price action. SHIB is still in a clear downward trend and is trading below all of the major moving averages, which are still sloping downward. Although the recent formation of a small ascending support trendline may appear to be an early recovery, it actually represents consolidation within a bearish structure.
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RSI is in the middle of the range, and momentum indicators are neutralizing. That implies a slowdown in selling pressure, but it does not show a lot of interest in purchases. It is not a pivot, but rather a pause.
Shiba Inu's selling pressure drops
The risk is simple: if the rising support breaks, SHIB will probably return to its recent lows or continue to decline as sell pressure absorbs exchange liquidity. Because there is little structural support below the current range, the presence of large reserves makes any breakdown more aggressive.
On the other hand, sustained outflows from exchanges and a breakout above adjacent resistance levels must occur simultaneously for any significant recovery to take place. Without it, any upward movement is probably going to be fleeting and motivated more by short-term speculation than by actual accumulation.
As of right now, SHIB is displaying distribution rather than strength. Additionally, the path of least resistance will remain downward unless the exchange dynamic changes.
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