Bitcoin’s Resistance Nightmare: $89,000 Barrier Still Unbroken

CN
6 hours ago

From the daily chart (1D), the broader trend is gritting its teeth in a cool-down phase after a descent from a swing high near $94,652 per bitcoin. The current structure is defined by lower highs, with the price recently bouncing off support at $83,814 only to be smacked back down near $89,000–$90,000.

The candlesticks are whispering indecision—small-bodied, low volume, and plenty of hesitation. Traders eyeing a break above $88,800 may be chasing ghosts unless volume joins the party. Meanwhile, a dip below $86,500 would be a tell-tale sign that bears still own the stage.

BTC/USD 1-day chart via Bitstamp on Dec. 30, 2025.

Zooming into the 4-hour chart (4H), bitcoin shows signs of bruising after a sharp fall from $90,307 to $86,584, with a half-hearted recovery to the $88,000 region. Resistance is pressing down at $88,200 like a stubborn ceiling, while support below is hanging on at $86,500–$86,800. Momentum here is fragile, and every bullish push lacks conviction, underscored by waning volume. For those watching this timeframe, the market is flirting with potential—just not commitment. The playbook here remains flexible, with short-term moves hinging on volume validation and quick reaction times.

BTC/USD 4-hour chart via Bitstamp on Dec. 30, 2025.

On the 1-hour chart (1H), the tone is cautiously hopeful—but let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Bitcoin recently nose-dived from $90,307 to $86,701 and is now attempting to claw its way back with a rounded base forming near $88,000. This level has been a sticky resistance zone, acting like a bouncer at the club door. While candles are stacking up with more optimism than before, the momentum remains shaky. Traders looking for any decisive move will need to see a clean break above $88,000 with volume that means it. Except the 1H chart looks like a long snake of consolidation going nowhere, at least for now.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart via Bitstamp on Dec. 30, 2025.

Looking at the technical indicators, the oscillators are giving off “meh” energy across the board. The relative strength index ( RSI) is sitting neutral at 46, while the stochastic oscillator reads 53, also neutral. The commodity channel index (CCI) rests at −40, echoing the same indecisiveness. Meanwhile, the average directional index (ADX) is at 18—translation: the trend strength is about as confident as a cat in a dog park. However, the moving average convergence divergence ( MACD) sits at −1,019, indicating a glimmer of bullish momentum alongside the momentum oscillator, which reads −328.

As for the moving averages, they read like a history lesson in recent disappointment. The exponential moving averages (EMA) and simple moving averages (SMA) for the 10-period both suggest upward momentum, holding above the current price at $87,733 and $87,741, respectively. But that’s where the optimism ends. Every other longer-term moving average—from the 20-period to the 200-period—leans downward, with EMAs and SMAs ranging from $88,050 to $107,094. That paints a clear picture: this market is still recovering from its last rollercoaster and isn’t ready for liftoff just yet.

Bull Verdict:

If bitcoin clears the $88,200–$89,200 resistance zone with strong volume and breaks out of its consolidation shackles, short-term upside toward $91,000–$93,000 remains on the table. The 10-period moving averages offer early support, and bullish momentum indicators—like the moving average convergence divergence ( MACD) and momentum oscillator—are trying to stir. Still, until volume kicks in, optimism must stay cautiously dressed.

Bear Verdict:

With longer-term moving averages casting a long shadow over current price action and volume on bullish pushes looking thinner than a blockchain whitepaper, bitcoin appears heavy at the top. Failure to break $88,000 convincingly could send it tumbling below $86,500, where downside targets near $84,000 are in play. Until proven otherwise, the broader structure still says lower highs—and that’s bearish DNA in action.

  • What is bitcoin’s current price range?
    Bitcoin is trading between $87,831 and $88,067 as of December 30, 2025.
  • Is bitcoin showing bullish or bearish signals?
    Technical indicators show mixed signals with weak bullish momentum and bearish structure on higher timeframes.
  • What are key support and resistance levels for bitcoin now?
    Support is near $86,500, while resistance looms between $88,000 and $89,200.
  • What’s the trading volume and market cap for bitcoin?
    Bitcoin’s 24-hour volume is $35.50 billion with a market cap of $1.75 trillion.

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