In addition to interest rate cuts, significant progress has been made in crypto ETPs.

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On September 17, local time, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) "accelerated the approval" of the Generic Listing Standards for cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs), paving a fast track for related products to enter public issuance and trading.

I. Generic Listing Standards: From "Case-by-Case Approval" to "One-Click Listing"

Previously, the listing of crypto ETPs was a long, expensive, and high-risk process. Issuers needed to submit special applications for each new asset, proving that its market had sufficient liquidity and was not subject to manipulation, with SEC review periods lasting up to 240 or even 270 days.

The impact of the Generic Listing Standards is revolutionary:

  • Simplified and Accelerated Process: ETPs that meet certain requirements clearly defined by the SEC will almost certainly be approved, with the process time significantly shortened to 75 days or less. It also allows compliant crypto ETPs (exchange-traded products) to list and trade without the need for a 19b-4 form.
  • Exchange Options: Most proposals in the industry suggest that the Generic Listing Standards should require the underlying assets to have futures contracts traded on regulated U.S. futures exchanges. Eligible exchanges include CME, Cboe, and possibly Coinbase Derivatives Exchange and Bitnomial.
  • First Beneficiaries: The SEC has approved the exchange listing standards and quickly approved the trading of the Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund (primarily holding BTC, ETH, etc.).

II. Explosive Growth of Products: A Repetition of History

Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise, predicts that the Generic Listing Standards will trigger explosive growth in the number of crypto ETPs, supported by historical experience:

  • Precedent of Traditional ETFs: After the SEC passed the "ETF Rule" at the end of 2019, creating generic standards for stock and bond ETPs, the speed of new ETF launches immediately tripled, soaring from an average of 117 per year to 370 per year.

  • Expectations in the Crypto Market: The crypto ETP space is also expected to see similar expansion. Altcoins that meet futures contract conditions, such as Solana, XRP, Chainlink, Cardano, Avalanche, and Polkadot, will welcome ETPs and attract a large number of traditional asset management companies into the field.

III. Macroeconomic Dual Benefits: The Overlap of Rate Cuts and ETP Waves

The regulatory breakthrough for ETPs coincides with a shift in U.S. macro policy:

  • Fed Shift: On the same day, the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut, which Powell referred to as a "risk management rate cut," clearly stating that the labor market "does not need to soften further." This marks a shift in the Fed's policy focus from controlling inflation to preserving employment, expected to initiate a liquidity-rich rate cut cycle.
  • Liquidity and Channels: The rate cut cycle will release more capital into risk assets, while the Generic Listing Standards provide the most convenient channel for accessing this capital.

IV. Impact on Cryptocurrency Asset Prices

Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise, stated in his report that the existence of ETPs alone cannot guarantee capital inflow, but it prepares assets for "explosion."

  1. Unlocking Traditional Capital: The vast majority of funds worldwide are controlled by traditional investors. With ETPs, these investors can easily allocate crypto assets through brokerage accounts without dealing with complex wallets and private keys.
  2. Reducing "Mystique": ETPs transform cryptocurrencies from "geek-exclusive strange tokens" into trusted stock codes. This lowers the threshold and fear for ordinary investors, making it easier to associate Chainlink with Mastercard partnerships, stablecoin applications, and more.
  3. Capital Reservoir: ETPs effectively establish a massive capital reservoir for assets. Once the fundamentals of an asset (such as Solana's activity or Ethereum's ecosystem development) begin to improve, capital can flow in at an extremely fast pace and large scale, triggering rapid price increases.

In summary, with the elimination of SEC regulatory barriers and the initiation of the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle, this "ETP explosion" will thoroughly unleash suppressed crypto capital and innovation, accelerating the mainstreaming of cryptocurrencies.

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