When on-chain data showed a devastating 95% drop in large holder activity this week, Shiba Inu investors were confronted with an unsettling reality. A mass exodus of market participants that may have major ramifications for price stability in the upcoming weeks was highlighted by the collapse of SHIB inflows and outflows by major players over the last 30 days.
First, let's look at the numbers. In the past 30 days, large holder inflows have crashed by -95% to -12%, while outflows have fallen by -97% to 52%, according to IntoTheBlock metrics. Due to the coordinated capital withdrawal, whales have essentially ceased sustaining liquidity, which has caused the volume of purchases and sales to drop to almost nothing in comparison to earlier in the quarter.
SHIB/USDT Chart by TradingView
Price-wise, SHIB has been recovering from its lows at $0.00001125, regaining the range of $0.000013 to $0.0000145. The token is testing the 200-day EMA on the most recent chart; it has not significantly breached this level since late 2024. A move into this region with an increasing RSI (now above 65) would typically be a sign of bullishness.
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However, it is questionable whether retail traders by themselves can maintain momentum since whale activity has slowed. This decline in big transactions is more than just a passing lull. The 90-day outflow data shows a sustained exit, rather than a brief rotation, as it is down nearly 80%. This implies that the move may stall rapidly due to a lack of follow-through buying if the price breaks through the resistance level of $0.0000145.
On the other hand, there might not be any major players available to absorb the selling if SHIB declines due to general market weakness. What are investors to anticipate next? The asset is in a vulnerable position as liquidity evaporates and volatility is ready to reappear. Rallying above the 200 EMA would still be technically successful, but rallies could quickly become bull traps if there is no obvious sign of renewed whale accumulation.
Put differently, this is not the moment to assume that the worst is behind us. The path of least resistance may return if big holders do not get back into the market soon, as SHIB's tenuous recovery is currently struggling.
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