OSL trading moment: Cryptocurrencies show a volatile trend, and the market anticipates a "Santa Claus rally."

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6 months ago

OSL Trading Moment: Cryptocurrency Shows Volatility Trend, Market Awaits "Santa Claus Rally"

1. Market Observation

Keywords: ETH, ETF, BTC

The cryptocurrency market has recently shown a volatility trend. Despite the market's anticipation of a "Santa Claus rally," Bitcoin has fallen due to reduced buying activity from large investors. Concerns that the Federal Reserve may take a tougher stance and a decrease in interest rate expectations have also led to a weak performance in the cryptocurrency market over the weekend. Notably, the tokenization platform Allo has secured $100 million in funding to strengthen its Bitcoin-backed lending business. Although Ethereum has not reached a new all-time high, it still shows strong growth potential.

Analyst Justin Bennett pointed out that the current bullish pattern of BTC is similar to previous surges, predicting that Bitcoin could break through $168,500 based on historical trends. On the institutional side, MicroStrategy remains optimistic about Bitcoin, increasing its holdings by 5,262 BTC for $561 million, marking the company's seventh consecutive week of purchases. Meanwhile, Senator Ted Cruz expressed his support for Bitcoin at the Turning Point Americafest conference.

However, the market also faces some challenges. The Wall Street Journal raised concerns that Bitcoin could be threatened by quantum computing, and according to historical patterns, BTC's price adjustment could reach 30%. Currently, Bitcoin's average trading volume is $31 billion, still far below historical highs. Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers noted that $84,000 is the "maximum pain" level for Bitcoin ahead of significant options expiration in December. Nevertheless, key indicators of on-chain activity still suggest that the Web3 sector is poised for sustainable growth.

2. Key Data (as of December 24, EST)

  • S&P 500: 6,040.04 points (up 26.50% year-to-date)

  • Nasdaq: 20,031.13 points (up 32.88% year-to-date)

  • 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield: 4.591% (up 70.4 basis points year-to-date)

  • U.S. Dollar Index: 108.095 (up 6.63% year-to-date)

  • Bitcoin: $98,173.47 (up 128.0% year-to-date), daily spot trading volume of $46.935 billion

  • Ethereum: $3,489.17 (up 53.50% year-to-date), daily spot trading volume of $23.267 billion

3. ETF Flows

  • Bitcoin ETF: -$150 million (as of December 24, EST)

  • Ethereum ETF: +$131 million (as of December 23, EST)

4. Important Dates

With the Christmas holiday approaching, the Hong Kong stock market and financial markets in several European countries will be closed for two and a half days starting Tuesday (24th), while the U.S. stock market will be closed for one and a half days.

5. Hot News

Supported by OSL - Hong Kong's largest over-the-counter trading platform, continuously providing regulated digital asset services to the market since 2018.

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