Many friends are quite concerned about me, thinking that buying #BTC at this price is too expensive and not worth it. I really appreciate that. What I want to express is not how optimistic I am about this price, but rather what I want to convey is not "I think" it will be like this, but "I did" something. I have been trading for over three years, and almost all of my operations are public. It is because I do it this way that I write like this.

It is not because writing this way is politically correct, and I have to do it. Many friends say that blindly being bullish is the easiest, but I think being bullish is the hardest, especially when facing downward risks. Many friends suggest reducing positions while still being optimistic about the trend, which is the most difficult. After all, when the price is rising, if you say it will go up, no one will praise you, but if you say it will go up when it is falling, you are likely to be criticized.

So the most politically correct stance is to be bullish when it rises and bearish when it falls; that is the simplest. Being blindly bearish or bullish carries significant risks. Therefore, I think, since I believe this and I operate this way, I will show it openly. If I say I am optimistic but have no actual actions, that might be irresponsible.

Of course, my buying does not mean it will definitely rise; it only represents my attitude and my judgment of the market. I use my position to back my judgment. If I am right, I should make money; if I am wrong, I will take the hit. My view on the trend has been consistent since the second half of 2023. I am optimistic about Q4 of 2024 and Q1 of 2025, so regardless of what I buy, I might reduce my position in Q1 of 2025. Until then, I will hold, buy when it drops, and not sell when it rises.

I do not have the ability to judge prices, so I only judge time. When the time comes, if the price is higher than now, I will sell; if it is lower than now, I will also sell. My ability is not sufficient to judge prices, so I will not do things that make me anxious, especially with BTC. I am not afraid of losses; at worst, I will just hold for another four years.

So, I am very calm. What I do is what I convey to everyone, with no exaggeration. If I am optimistic, I buy; if I am pessimistic, I sell. It’s that simple.

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