Ethereum Foundation Researcher: The golden age of Solana has ended, and its two major advantages will be surpassed by ETH L2.

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11 days ago

Original Title: "Ethereum Foundation Researcher: The Golden Era of Solana is Over! Two Major Advantages Will Be Surpassed by ETH L2"

Written by: Ting, BlockTempo

In this bull market, the public chain Solana has captured most of the meme season's traffic due to its advantages of fast transaction speeds and low gas fees, with the SOL token price breaking $260 on November 22, setting a new historical high.

In contrast, the first public chain Ethereum has not seen significant breakthroughs in its ecosystem recently, and the high gas fee issue has led on-chain users to avoid it, resulting in a continued slump in Ethereum's coin price.

However, Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake recently stated that Solana's good days may be coming to an end.

Ethereum Foundation Researcher: The Golden Era of Solana is Coming to an End

Crypto media The Defiant tweeted today (29th) that in the latest episode of their podcast, Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake discussed how Ethereum Layer 2 could surpass Solana in terms of latency and throughput, bluntly stating that Solana's golden era is about to end:

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana: Different Focuses of Competition

Justin Drake:

To summarize this competition, one could say: on one hand, Bitcoin's competitive advantages lie in its stability, Lindy effect (historical durability), and monetary properties; while Beam Chain focuses on maximizing the efficiency of Ethereum Layer 1, making its competition with Bitcoin more direct. On the other hand, Solana is centered around performance.

In my model, Solana's competitor is actually Ethereum's Layer 2, not Layer 1 itself. The good news for Solana is that it has performed excellently in two key performance indicators over the past year or two: latency and throughput.

Solana's Advantages Are No More: Latency and Throughput

Justin Drake:

In terms of latency, Solana has a very short slot time (time interval). However, for Ethereum, the arrival of the pre-confirmation mechanism will significantly improve latency, even surpassing Solana. Currently, Solana's average latency is 200 milliseconds. But the pre-confirmation mechanism will reduce latency to nearly 10 milliseconds, meaning a 20-fold improvement in slot latency.

In terms of throughput, this year we have witnessed the vigorous development of Layer 2. There is a website rollup.wtf that showcases the growth of throughput from a computational perspective (measured by the number of gas per second). Ethereum's goal is to allow the entire ecosystem to process as many transactions as possible, and Layer 2 has already demonstrated its horizontal scaling capabilities. Currently, the overall throughput of Layer 2 is about 100 times higher than that of Ethereum Layer 1, and it is very likely to grow to 1,000 times, or even 10,000 times, next year. This is a sustainable and scalable architecture.

Meanwhile, Solana's strategy is to concentrate all activities on a single server. Each validation node requires a large server to handle all activities, but the performance of these servers has basically reached its limit, making it impossible to significantly increase throughput. I believe Solana will not be able to increase its gas limit by 10 times next year, while Ethereum is very likely to expand its overall gas limit by 10 times through Layer 2.

In summary, we may soon see the end of Solana's golden era, as its once-proud two performance indicators will no longer hold a competitive advantage.

Interestingly, Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko also quoted The Defiant's tweet and attached a picture stating:

"The golden era of Solana is over, the era of multi-signatures has arrived."

This tweet seems to carry a sarcastic tone, implying that the Ethereum Foundation lacks tangible results and only uses statements like "Ethereum is about to surpass Solana" to motivate its users and developers within its ecosystem. (Note: The Ethereum ecosystem places great importance on technologies such as multi-signatures and account abstraction.)

Ethereum Foundation Invests Tens of Millions of Dollars in zkVMs

On the other hand, Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake also tweeted today (29th) that the Ethereum Foundation is investing tens of millions of dollars in zkVMs projects, including zkRISC-V formal verification, Poseidon cryptanalysis, and L2beat for zkVMs.

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