Why did Memecoins lead the way in this round of bull market? A brief discussion on the new logic of asset sector rotation.

CN
5 months ago

The logic behind the current Meme craze: Meme coins represented by BTC vs VC coins represented by ETH.

Written by: Yue Xiaoyu

Previously, the asset rotation in the market was as follows: external incremental funds entering the industry would first flow into Bitcoin, then to Ethereum, where the DeFi infrastructure of the Ethereum ecosystem would leverage the incremental funds, amplifying the utilization effect of the capital, and finally flow into various popular tokens in new sectors.

However, this bull market is quite special, as the asset rotation has changed: Bitcoin surged first, followed by Solana, then Doge, then mainstream meme coins, and finally various meme coins across different chains.

Why has this change occurred?

Firstly, Bitcoin is generally very strong at the beginning of a bull market, especially with the support of ETFs in this round, which has led the entire industry.

The external incremental funds for Bitcoin mainly enter through ETFs, which means the funds have not really entered the crypto space but are isolated in the US stock market.

Ethereum also has ETFs, but the current attention of external incremental funds is focused on Bitcoin, making Ethereum relatively weak and lacking liquidity.

The surge in Bitcoin has brought unexpected effects to the industry.

Bitcoin is the largest meme coin, a symbol of this decentralized world, whose symbolic significance far exceeds its actual technical use.

Ethereum, as the "world computer," relies more on the development of its ecosystem and practical applications for its value.

Now, it has turned into two major factions: meme coins represented by BTC and VC coins represented by ETH.

The market is gradually dividing into two factions, with some people favoring Bitcoin as a speculative asset or a store of value, while others value the practicality and innovative potential of Ethereum and its ecosystem.

Thus, the unexpected effect of Bitcoin's surge is the meme coin craze, with speculators currently dominating the market; while the weakness of ETH has temporarily suppressed various practical "value coins."

Meme coins are very quick and volatile, providing a strong sense of participation and excitement.

Market attention is limited; since the practical coins represented by ETH or VC coins (which generally have investment logic and value support) are lying still, people rush into the meme coin casino to play.

The simplicity and entertainment of meme coins make it easier for novice investors to participate.

Additionally, the support of top KOL Elon Musk for Doge has greatly boosted the popularity of meme coins.

Favorable conditions (bull market cycle), advantageous circumstances (the new US government's policy environment loosening), and human factors (Musk's promotion) have all contributed to this round of meme coin explosion.

However, assets without value support cannot go far, so after the meme craze, as rationality returns, funds will still seek assets with narratives and imaginative potential, as these assets have greater room for speculation.

Therefore, do not lose heart regarding VC coins represented by ETH; funds will still flow towards tokens with larger narratives.

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