This year, my understanding of "timing" has deepened.

CN
1 year ago

This year, my understanding of "timing" has deepened. As ordinary cryptocurrency investors, we only need to grasp the 4-year cycle of the AICoin clock and the seasonal cycle of 1 year to profit steadily from the market.

For example, one of the important reasons why I have always insisted that there will not be a super bull market this year is that we are currently in the stagnation period of the AICoin clock (now moving towards the recession period), and the arrival of a super bull market requires waiting for the overheating period of the AICoin clock.

For instance, I bravely bought the dip in July and bet on the rebound, but remained indifferent to the market fluctuations in August and September, based on the judgment of the seasonal cycle.

In market analysis, it is important to filter out noise data unrelated to the cycle and focus on data that reflects the current stage of the cycle, such as economic data related to the current economic recession in the United States.

The "timing" we are in now is a major change in the financial market that has not been seen in 40 years. The Fed's rate cut, the Bank of Japan's rate hike, the imminent end of the inverted yield curve of long and short-term interest rates in the United States, and the imminent surpassing of Japan's ultra-long-term bond yields by China's ultra-long-term government bonds will completely reset the system environment parameters of the financial market, and the relationship between the original financial system input and output vectors will enter a chaotic state.

At this moment, investors have no more rational strategy than to hold the US dollar and short-term US bonds to the maximum extent, just like Buffett.

免责声明:本文章仅代表作者个人观点,不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享,不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议,与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权,请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com,本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

Share To
APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink