These days, I read about a Twitter user's experience with zkSync.
This user has spent a lot of time, energy, and money persistently engaging in various transactions on zkSync over the years. During this period, the user's dedication and focus received unwavering support from their spouse. Even in the most difficult times, the user's spouse remained steadfast in their belief.
However, the results of this effort turned out to be in vain. This undoubtedly struck the user's psychological defense line like a bolt from the blue.
In the comments of this post, the user also shared their own experience - in order to maximize profits, they even resigned to wholeheartedly focus on this matter.
The experiences of this user and some of the commenters evoke mixed feelings.
Today, I want to share with everyone the several serious mistakes I believe this user made throughout the entire event, hoping that our readers can avoid this pitfall in the future and prevent similar tragedies from happening again.
When doing anything, the overall strategy should be correct first, and then the details can be refined. If the overall strategy is correct, even if the details are not precise, at most it will result in slower progress and lower efficiency. But if the overall strategy is wrong, no matter how well the details are refined, it will be in vain.
In this case, I think one very serious mistake the user made was having the wrong overall strategy.
The strategy of "farming" has evolved to a point where it is no longer the kind of easy gains it used to be. Now, the policies set by the projects are very strict, aiming to prevent tokens from being airdropped to speculative traders who are not loyal to the project.
Under this premise, project parties usually have two approaches:
Clearly announce the airdrop criteria, such as projects like Blast and EigenLayer - the more assets one stakes, the more airdrops one receives.
Do not clearly announce the airdrop criteria, always using ambiguous language to keep the community's hopes up. Allowing everyone to see hope, but not a clear outcome.
For the first type, we can see that it is simply a game for those with more money. For this type of game, everyone should participate within their means. The final airdrop will either happen or not.
In this type of game, retail investors are not likely to be hurt too much, because when they see the rules, they know it is not in their favor. Slightly more rational retail investors will not heavily invest in this type of game. Not heavily investing means "the greater the hope, the greater the disappointment."
The second type is a game of speculation. There are no clear rules, but there is a seemingly "enormous" opportunity, making it easy for people to have illusions.
In this type of game, the project party completely controls the initiative, and participants have no bargaining power. However, this type of game is most likely to make participants act irrationally and get hurt. The tragedy in the above case was caused by this type of game.
But in fact, if we can suppress our greed and think calmly, it should not be difficult to realize that in this kind of game with unclear rules, fairness, and transparency in doubt, if participants can still profit, it is purely luck.
Since it is luck, we should not risk all our assets and bet everything in this kind of game.
So heavily investing and betting in this kind of game is fundamentally wrong.
The rational approach is as I have written in my previous articles: participate appropriately within the time, energy, and financial resources allowed.
If we go a step further, we will actually find that the participants in this kind of game have a bigger problem in their hearts: the demon of "getting rich overnight" lingering in their minds.
Whether it's the user's "going all out" or the commenters' "full-time operations," all of these actions are incited by this demon.
This demon has eroded 99.9999999% of people in the crypto ecosystem.
Because they missed out on Bitcoin, they hope to get rich overnight by going all in on altcoins.
Because they missed out on Ethereum, they hope to get rich overnight by going all in on Ethereum killers.
Because they missed out on Bitcoin and Ethereum, they hope to get rich overnight by going all in on MEME coins.
Because they missed out on ORDI, they hope to get rich overnight by going all in on other tokens.
Because they missed out on all the coins, they hope to get rich overnight by farming.
…
In one "get rich overnight" hope after another, of course, there are successful people, but we need to carefully consider how large this proportion really is.
Even if there are, why should it be you or me?
So for these speculative games, participating with a calm and accepting mindset is, in my opinion, the most suitable way for retail investors.
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