The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is often for profit! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui Shuo Bi, focusing on the analysis of digital currency market trends, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the majority of coin friends. Welcome the attention and likes of the majority of coin friends, and refuse any market smokescreens!
The market trends have been shared with everyone in a relatively thorough manner. Today, let's talk about other markets. Friends who pay attention to the global economy are quite clear. The recent visit of Yellen to China, as well as her remarks last night hoping to reach new trade agreements with us. Combined with the non-farm payroll data released last night, this data was prepared to be discussed with everyone in yesterday's article, but ultimately this issue was not mentioned because in Lao Cui's eyes, the American data is already not very rigorous, and its reference value is only temporary. The simple truth is that gold is still rising, and crude oil is still maintaining a bullish trend. You need to understand that the non-farm payroll employment data for March exceeded expectations by an increase of 303,000 people. What does this set of data mean for the market? The data released by the Americans is completely contrary to the actual situation, and has almost lost its basic credibility.
As for the release of this non-farm payroll data, everyone can refer to the performance of A-shares and the performance of the coin circle. For the coin circle, it has already lost any reference value and is completely in a state of calm. Why was this set of data released, and why was it chosen to be released yesterday? On this point, you can refer to Yellen's speech in Guangzhou, opposing the decoupling of China and the United States. This also once again confirms Lao Cui's speculation about the previous period of American bond interest rates. To put it bluntly, the purpose of Yellen's visit to China this time is very clear, which is to attract funds to flow into the country, or in simpler terms, to borrow money. The bargaining chip is also very clear, giving everyone the illusion that the domestic situation in the United States continues to improve, attracting everyone to invest.
My conclusion for the Americans is just one sentence, completely rotten. If they had any way out, they wouldn't come to China, let alone release domestic data in this way, nor would they allow the interest rates on government bonds to rise so high. Thinking in reverse, if this set of data is completely true, it can directly declare that the interest rate reduction strategy for this year is impossible to achieve. Before the interest rate cut, they have already reaped considerable profits, so for the interest rate cut, there is no need to implement it. The non-farm payroll data combined with the rise in government bond interest rates and Yellen's recent visit to China, these conditions are simply telling everyone that the United States has no interest rate reduction strategy for this year. It is a completely expression of not being afraid of boiling water like a dead pig, and it also tells everyone that we have no way out.
The habit of Europeans and Americans is to talk big, often the things they say are far from the policies they implement. This incident reminded Lao Cui of the story of Yeltsin and Clinton, but we are not the Soviet Union. It can be said that whether an interest rate cut can be achieved depends on the effectiveness of this visit to China. It is very unlikely that both sides will completely achieve their goals at the negotiation table. The Americans themselves are very clear that an interest rate cut will definitely bring us greater benefits, so it depends on whether both sides can compromise. To be more straightforward, it is imminent that the goal can be achieved in the near future, and an interest rate cut is just around the corner. We will no longer discuss the non-farm payroll data and the issues in the coin circle, and return to the coin circle.
Recently, many spot users of small coins have approached Lao Cui, and there has been a new round of misunderstandings about small coins. Everyone can feel that the recent fluctuations in small coins are very small. The trend is almost identical to that of Ethereum, which has gradually caused many friends to lose confidence in small coins. Everyone can understand the public chain of Ethereum, which can currently be called a small coin, and most of the coins with a certain age in the coin circle use the Ethereum public chain because they do not have their own public chain usage and value. Therefore, a considerable number of coins have almost the same price fluctuations as Ethereum. The public chain of Ethereum is also based on the underlying logic of Bitcoin. Bitcoin has attracted some traditional funds after listing, so the volatility is relatively large. The coins using the Ethereum public chain do not have the endorsement of large funds.
You can understand it this way, the smaller the volatility, the lower the bubble, as long as it is not a hot coin. In the case of Ethereum, with actual capabilities to land, do not care about short-term volatility; everyone knows that if there are still coins that can be listed in the coin circle, it is most likely Ethereum. After Ethereum is listed, there will definitely be a bubble, but as long as we can enter before the bubble appears in Ethereum, everyone can enjoy the dividends of the bubble. In summary, I hope everyone will not be constrained by immediate interests. Whether it is the non-farm payroll or the American government bond interest rate, it actually has not had a significant impact on the future trend of the entire coin circle, and the trend still exists in the bullish range. (Not targeting altcoins)
Original article created by public account: Lao Cui Shuo Bi. If there is any infringement, please contact the author to delete it.
Lao Cui's message: Investment is like playing chess. Masters can see five steps, seven steps, or even a dozen steps ahead, while those with lower skills can only see two or three steps. The high-level players consider the overall situation, plan for the general trend, and do not focus on individual moves or territories, but aim to win the game in the end. The lower-level players fight for every inch of land, frequently switching between long and short positions, only fighting for short-term gains, and as a result, frequently get trapped.
This material is for learning and reference only, and does not constitute investment advice. Buying and selling based on this material is at your own risk!
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