Bitcoin Liquidation $10.2B Possible If $BTC Pump 10%: What Are Odds?

Imagine this — one small move in Bitcoin price could wipe out $10.2 billion in bets against it. Sounds crazy, right? But that’s exactly what could happen if $BTC USDT goes up just 10%.

Traders and investors are watching closely because this could cause one of the biggest Bitcoin liquidations ever. Let’s see why this is important and what it could mean.

$10.2 Billion in Shorts at Risk: The Bitcoin Liquidation Factor

Ash Crypto says that if $BTC price surge 10%, around $10.2 billion worth of short positions could be automatically closed. When this happens, traders must buy the asset to cover their losses, which pushes the price higher.

This is called a Bitcoin short squeeze, and it can make the market very bullish fast. Simply put, even a small rise in the asset could start a wave of buying that wipes out traders betting against the coin, and the price could go much higher if the momentum continues.

ETF Outflows Indicate Market Hesitation

According to Wu Blockchain, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs outflows continue , as they saw a net $367 million token exit on October 17. As per the latest BTC news today, this was the third day in a row of outflows.

Spot Ethereum ETFs also had $232 million in outflows, and none of the nine funds had any inflows.

This shows that investors are being careful right now. But history shows that when investors hesitate like this, big price moves can come soon — especially if Bitcoin liquidations happen .

BTC Price Analysis: Consolidation Zone Now, Rally Later?

Right now, the price is trading around $106,948, up 1% in 24 hours but down 5% for the week. The chart shows sideways movement near $106K.

• RSI (46.4): Neutral

• MACD: Early signs of a bullish crossover could hint at a small upward move.

• Support: $106,000

• Resistance: $107,800–$108,500

After carefully analyzing the TradingView chart, if the price surges above $108.5K, it could trigger the $10.2B Bitcoin liquidation, causing a short squeeze rally toward $112K–$115K. If it fails to break resistance, the BTC price forecast for now may stay between $105,000–$107,000 for now.

4 Reasons Behind BTC Pump : Why Short Squeeze Feels Imminent

Traders asking will BTC rise 10%? Here are four big reasons that signals yes:

1. Trump Hints at Massive Rate Cuts: Lower interest rates mean money is cheaper. Investors may take more risks, moving money from bonds to digital assets. This can help the world's largest cryptocurrency rise.

2. Coinbase Premium Gap Turning Red: Earlier this signal happened in March–April 2025, right before price surged 60%, and the same chart is repeating, which could mean the token is quietly building pressure for a big jump.

3. Binance Accumulating: Big buys by Binance show smart investors think crash as a buy the dip opportunity.

4. Short-Term Holder Realized Price Signal: Crypto analyst Martinez Ali on-chain data shows it is near a historical buy-the-dip zone. Every time this happened before, it marked a bottom, suggesting a trend reversal and price breakout could happen.

Conclusion: Is a Short Squeeze Coming?

All these factors; ETF outflows, sideways price movement, and bullish signals — suggest a Bitcoin liquidation event could trigger a strong rebound. Even a small BTC pump could force shorts to cover, making the price rise quickly.

Watch the $108.5K resistance carefully. Breaking it could lead to a short squeeze rally toward $112,000–$115,000.