wu fan|Oct 11, 2026 14:01
Buffett and Bill Gates first met in 1991
Buffett poses a hypothetical question to Gates
If you were stranded on a deserted island for ten years
Can only invest in stocks of two technology companies
Which two would you choose
Gates provides the answer
Microsoft and Intel
Gates' Logic
The PC era is the major trend for the next few decades
Microsoft masters operating system software
Intel masters computer core processor chips
Software and hardware matching
Almost monopolize the personal computer industry chain
It's difficult to be overturned within ten years
Buffett agrees with Gates' judgment after listening
But he didn't buy these two stocks himself
Buffett's own choice of deserted island
If it were him to choose
He won't choose technology stocks
He will choose Coca Cola
Buffett's reasons
Not in the market for ten years
Unable to track industry changes
Must choose extremely stable demand
A business where moats are difficult to overturn
Whether the economy is prosperous or depressed
People are still willing to buy cola when they are thirsty
Brand firmly rooted in people's minds
No need for continuous massive capital investment to update equipment
How to Transform Energy Technology Again
It won't immediately eliminate the public's demand for beverages
Compared to Intel and Microsoft
The technology iteration in the semiconductor industry is too fast
The competition in the software industry may also emerge as a dark horse at any time
Ten years is enough time to overturn leading enterprises
This is what Buffett couldn't understand back then
This question still holds meaning today
What if I were to choose what to buy
Because I can only buy stocks instead of indices
And if we can only buy two, then
My first choice is 75% Maotai, followed by 25% CRCL
Maotai is used for defense, at least the capital will not have major problems
If 75% of the positions receive dividends and reinvest them within ten years
Doubling a little more should not be a problem
As for why I bought CRCL
I still tend to believe that if the pancake rises
CRCL has risen more than Big Cake
If the pancake falls
CRCL has also fallen less
The ceiling is extremely high
The USDC ecosystem outside the cryptocurrency circle is developing
In ten years, the current market value is 20 billion US dollars
It may reach $1 trillion
These 25% positions have a chance to earn 20-50 times
If unfortunately it really goes back to zero
Maotai's BAT may impact investment portfolios
It's not a big problem to outperform bonds, bank deposits, or even CPI
So Maotai defends against CRCL attacks
Actually, I know there are many better options in the market
For example, in industries such as AI
Unfortunately, I don't really understand
What is your answer?
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