小龙先生|Sep 06, 2026 01:41
《Mr. Xiao Long · Today's Insights》
---- BTC Short-Term Trend Prediction for Next Week: High probability of a pullback to around 77K, maybe even lower!
Let’s first look at the changes in the strength of long and short positions on the 4-hour chart. After the non-farm payroll data was released, it exceeded expectations, and bearish momentum significantly increased. Although weekend trading has been quiet, making it seem like the bears aren’t sustaining their pressure, this is still a bearish signal! Don’t ignore it.
Additionally, the escalating conflict between the U.S. and Iran has pushed Brent crude oil prices up to $96. Next week’s CPI data is very likely to look unfavorable—at least meeting or exceeding expectations. As a result, the likelihood of further rate hikes will rise to 65%+.
That said, I estimate that those U.S. politicians, in order to cater to Trump, are unlikely to raise rates immediately under normal circumstances. Instead, they’re more likely to keep rates unchanged.
Regardless, Bitcoin is facing multiple pressures: amplified bearish momentum on the 4-hour chart + rate hike expectations + resistance at 83K, massive sell orders in the order book + short-term profit-taking sell-offs.
So, I predict Bitcoin is very likely to experience a downward adjustment next week. A healthy pullback is a good thing—it helps digest various pressures, allowing BTC to continue consolidating and eventually break through 83K, officially kicking off a full-blown bull market.
As for the price level BTC might pull back to, I’ve already outlined multiple scenarios in the weekly market report article below. Please refer to the article .
However, one thing I’m certain of is that this bear market is over, and the bull market has started—it’s in its early stages. Price pullbacks are normal and healthy. If the price can pull back to 71K, it would be an excellent correction and entry point! But since everyone is waiting for this price level, the market likely won’t give us such an easy opportunity.
If the price can pull back to 73.5K, that’s also a great entry point!
A healthy pullback is an opportunity to get on board—don’t waste or miss it!
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