Changxin's rare performance of "Sunshine Shines": The probability of winning the Shanghai Stock Exchange's 200000 yuan daily average market value lottery is about 18% According to BlockBeats, on July 16th, Changxin Technology, a leading domestic storage chip company in China, opened up subscription today, which is expected to impact the world's third-largest DRAM supplier. At present, institutions predict that the online success rate range is 0.30% to 0.70%, with a neutral mainstream expectation of about 0.45%, which is about 10 to 20 times the success rate of ordinary Sci Tech Innovation Board new stocks, which is only 0.02% to 0.05%. This creates a "sunny" market. The core reason for the significant increase in the winning rate is that a large number of strategic placements have been returned to retail online channels, and the online issuance volume has reached a new high in the history of the Science and Technology Innovation Board. According to a neutral 0.45% calculation, a daily average market value of 200000 yuan in the Shanghai Stock Exchange can obtain about 40 allocation numbers, with a single account winning probability of about 18%. Theoretically, a daily average market value of 1 million yuan is highly likely to stably win 1 lottery, and a top tier subscription of 16.72 million yuan can win about 15 lottery spots. This' Sunshine Shines' new stock window is relatively rare in the history of the Science and Technology Innovation Board, and the probability of individual investors winning the lottery is significantly higher than any popular new stock in recent years. However, it should be noted that the current data are all predicted by securities firms, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange will release the official announcement of the winning rate after the close on July 17th. In terms of key time nodes, the lottery number will be announced on July 20th, and users must have sufficient funds in their accounts to complete the payment before 4:00 pm on the same day. Each 500 shares signed corresponds to a payment amount of 4330 yuan, and the institution estimates that the profit margin for a single lottery is between 3000 yuan and 26000 yuan.