Crypto二狗
Crypto二狗|7月 07, 2026 14:00
I have been working on Polymarket recently, and the more I do, the more I realize that predicting the market is not about judgment ability, but about who gets the information first. When the situation in the Middle East continued to escalate, I learned about and followed several prediction markets related to Iran. When the news first came out, the market had not yet fully priced it, but as more and more media confirmed the news, the odds of the relevant market began to change rapidly, and the trading volume also significantly increased. Geopolitical events have always been one of the most active tracks in Polymarket, with every major news quickly reflected in market prices. It was also from then on that I learned about and started using @ dappOS_com's xUbble Coding, directly using the Polymarket Event Detector that was already being run in the community. It will continuously monitor X, news, and public events. Once there is any news that may affect the predicted market, it will be automatically organized into structured information, rather than waiting for me to brush dozens of accounts or switch to various information websites. The most memorable time was when news related to Iran began to ferment. My previous process was basically: Scan X → check media for confirmation → open Polymarket → decide whether to trade or not. Many times, by the time the information is confirmed, the odds have already dropped significantly. Now the tools will organize events, so I can quickly determine whether this is a market worth participating in, rather than wasting a lot of time collecting information. Later, I used it to observe the prediction market related to the World Cup, and the experience was similar. A typical event driven market like the World Cup, starting lineup, injuries, on-site news, and even weather changes can all affect odds. The earlier the information is obtained, the more decision-making time is left for oneself. This is also what I think is the biggest difference between @ dappOS_com's xUbble Coding and many AI coding tools. It's not just about generating code for you, but someone has already run a real trading scenario, which you can use directly or continue to adjust according to your own strategy. For those who make predictions about the market, the true Alpha is often not about predicting the future, but about discovering information that will change market pricing faster than others. Case video https://(x.com)/dappOS_com/status/2073001053155656031/video/1
+5
Mentioned
Share To

Timeline

HotFlash

APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink

Hot Reads